York Ebor Festival Trends & Tips: Sat 26th August 2017

York Ebor Racing Tips and Trends

The York Ebor Festival concludes on Saturday 26th August 2017, as the four-day meeting heads into it’s final day.

Four more LIVE ITV races to take in, including the Group Three Strensall Stakes and the Group Two Gimcrack Stakes, but the final day is always spearheaded by the Ebor Handicap – Europe’s most valuable handicap – did you know that ALL of the last 15 Ebor Handicap winners carried 9-4 or less in weight, while 12 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall?

As always, we’ll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

DAY FOUR – Saturday 26th August 2017

 

1.55 – Betfred Mobile Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

14/14 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/14 – Had won at least twice in the their career
13/14 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Had won over a mile before
9/14 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/14 – Favourites to finish in the top three
8/14 – Placed horses from stall 2
7/14 – Unplaced last time out
7/14 – Won by Godolphin
7/14 – Previous Group race winners
6/14 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/14 – Had won at York before
Scottish (5/1) won the race in 2016
Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

2.25 – Betfred Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

12/14 – Not raced at York before
12/14 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/14 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
11/14 – Had won over 1m4f or further
10/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
10/14 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
9/14 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
7/14 – Winning distance 1 length or less
6/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/14 – Won their previous race
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Wall Of Fire (16/1) won the race in 2016

 

3.00 – Al Basti Equiworld Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

14/14 – Won just 1-2 times before
14/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/14 – Won just once before
9/14 – Foaled in March or later
9/14 – Had won over 6f before
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
6/14 – Won by a March foal
5/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/14 – Trained by William Haggas
2/14 – Ridden by Jimmy Fortune
2/14 – Winning favourites
Blue Point (11/8 fav) won the race in 2016

3.45 – Betfred Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

15/15 – Carried 9-4 or less
14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
12/15 – Won from a double-figure stall
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
11/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/15 – Winning Distance – 1 length or less
9/15 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Had run at York before
5/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/15 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/15 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
1/15 – Winning favourites
Heartbreak City (15/2) won the race in 2016
Just one winning favourite since 1999
Luca Cumani has won the race in 1999, 2004 & 2007
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 22/1

 

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