Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Saturday 6th Aug 2022

Horse racing trends

Andy

More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in nine races across the three venues.

We’ve six competitive handicaps at Ascot for their Shergar Cup day, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)


2:10 –
Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

13/13 – Failed to win their last race
12/13 – Raced at Ascot previously
12/13 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
12/13 – Had 4 or more runs that season
12/13 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
11/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Won at least 3 times in their career
9/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – Had won over 5f previously
6/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/13 – Favourites (1 joint)
5/13 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/13 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 7 runnings)
3/13 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2/13 – Trained by Clive Cox (including 2 of the last 3)

JUICESTORM BEST BET: KING OF STARS
JUICESTORM DANGER: DUBAI STATION (E/W)

2:45 – Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV

15/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Carried 8-13 or more
14/17 – Rated between 86-94
14/17 – Had raced at the track before
13/17 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
13/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/17 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
12/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/17 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (6) last time out
10/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/17 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/17 – Won last time out
No winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
4 of the last 12 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 7 of the last 14 runnings

JUICESTORM BEST BET: SUPER SUPERJACK
JUICESTORM DANGER: THEMAXWECAN (E/W)

3:20 – Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV

16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
15/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
14/17 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
14/17 – Won between 1-4 times previously
14/17 – Officially rated between 87-94
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
10/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/17 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
6/17 – Had run at Ascot previously
5/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/17 – Favourites that won
Graphite (18/1) won the race in 2021
One winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
3 of the last 15 winners came from stall 5
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

JUICESTORM  BEST BET: PRIDE OF PRIORY
JUICESTORM DANGER: STATE OF BLISS (E/W)

3:55 – Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

17/17 – Won over at least a mile before
16/17 – Failed to win last time out
16/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/17 – Rated between 92-100
16/17 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
15/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Won between 2-4 times before
12/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/17 – Had run at Ascot before
4/17 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Dashing Roger (5/1 cfav) won the race in 2021
3 of the last 15 winners came from stall 1
4 of the last 6 winners came from stall 12
13 or the last 16 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting

JUICESTORM BEST BET: MONTASSIB
JUICESTORM DANGER: ISLA KAI

 

4:30 – Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV

12/12 – Raced 3 or more times that season
10/12 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
10/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
9/12 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/12 – Officially rated between 84-90
6/12 – Favourites placed
4/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/12 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/12 – Favourites that won
2/12 – Trained by Richard Hannon
8 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8

JUICESTORM BEST BET: HAMAKI
JUICESTORM DANGER: SHARP COMBO (E/W)

5:05 – Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV

17/17 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
15/17 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
15/17 – Won over 6f previously
14/17 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
14/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/17 – Won between 2-3 times previously
11/17 – Officially rated between 86-95
11/17 – Came from the top three in the betting market
11/17 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
11/17 – Favourites placed
7/17 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning Favourites
3/17 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
6 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

JUICESTORM BEST BET: RAZEYNA
JUICESTORM DANGER: STERLING KNIGHT (e/w)

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

 

2:25 – Urmston Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 1m ITV

11/11 – Carried 9-0 or more
11/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years old
10/11 – Won between 1-3 times before
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Drawn in stalls 6 or lower
9/11 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Previous winners over 1m
9/11 – Carried between 9-0 and 9-6 in weight
8/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/11 – Drawn between stalls 3-6 (inc)
7/11 – Rated between 81 and 89 (inc)
7/11 – Aged 4 years-old
6/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Had run at the track before
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute

JUICESTORM BEST BET: ELECTRICAL STORM
JUICESTORM DANGER: MR MCCANN (E/W)

3:00 –Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

19/19 – Aged 5 or younger
17/19 – Officially rated 105 or higher
16/19 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
15/19 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
15/19 – Yet to run at Haydock
15/19 – Favourites placed
15/19 – Won over 1m2f or further
15/19 – Run 3 or more times that season
13/19 – Won a Listed or better class race before
13/19 – Won 3 or more times during their career
13/19 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
12/19 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
12/19 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/19 – Finished unplaced in their last race
6/19 – Favourites that won
3/19 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/19 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Foxes Tales (5/4 fav) won the race in 2021

JUICESTORM BEST BET: GROCER JACK
JUICESTORM DANGER: ROYAL CHAMPION

 

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

3.40 – Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

18/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/19 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
16/19 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
16/19 – Won just once previously
15/19 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
15/19 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/19 – Had won over only 6f previously
12/19 – Favourites placed
11/19 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
11/19 – Raced at Newmarket (7) or Sandown (4) last time out
10/19 – Won their last race
8/19 – Yet to win over 7f
8/19 –  Favourites that won
7/19 – Had just one previous run
5/19 – Won by Godolphin
3/19 – Trained by the Hills stable
Trainer Mark Johnston has won 3 of the last 8 runnings
Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
5 of the last 15 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (3) or 2nd (2)

JUICESTORM BEST BET: LAKOTA SIOUX
JUICESTORM DANGER: IVORY MADONNA

 

 

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