Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Sat 7th May 2022

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Andy

The Horse Racing category publishes select GB and IE reviews around 10 minutes before races we feel merit your interest.

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Latest posts by Andy (see all)

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So, after last week we’ve now already had two of the five English Classics, but this week with Epsom Oaks and Derby Trials Day at Lingfield we’ll get a chance to take in a few more clues ahead of the next batch of Classics ahead of the June showpieces.

The John Gosden team will be eyeing their fourth Lingfield Oaks Trial since 2017, while the powerful Aidan O’Brien camp will also be looking to enhance their excellent record in the Lingfield Derby Trial – they’ve won 5 of the last 14 renewals.

As well as four races at Lingfield, the ITV cameras are also taking in Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle, the old Swinton Hurdle from Haydock Park, while they will also be showing three races at Ascot, that including the ultra-competitive Victoria Cup.

As always, here at JUICESTORM we’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.00 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

18/18 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
18/18 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
17/18 – Carried 11-5 or less
17/18 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
16/18 – Didn’t win last time out
15/18 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Irish bred
11/18 – Carried 10-8 or less
10/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/18 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/18 – Returned a double-figure price
6/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/18 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 8 runnings)
3/18 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/18 – Irish-trained winners

JUICESTORM BEST BET: ANNA BUNINA
JUICESTORM DANGER: LUTTREL LAD

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.45 – Royal Ascot Local Schools Art Competition Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 1m4f

Only 9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/9 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Won 2 or 3 times before
7/9 – Rated between 86 and 91
7/9 – Carried 9-4 or less
7/9 – Aged 4 years-old
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
4/9 – Won on reappearance run (4 of last 5)
4/9 – Drawn in stalls 5-8 (inc)
4/9 – Horses from stall 11 placed (1 winner)
4/9 – Had raced at Ascot before
4/9 – Winning favourites (3 of last 5)
2/9 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/9 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni

JUICESTORM BEST BET: HMS PRESIDENT
JUICESTORM DANGER: JUST HUBERT

2.20 – Carey Group Buckhounds Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

13/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Had raced at Ascot before
9/16 – Had won 3 or more times before
9/16 – Winning favourites (inc co or joint)
9/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
7/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/16 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 13 winners ALL came from stalls 5 or lower

Note: The 2020 race was staged at Newmarket

JUICESTORM BEST BET: AL AASY
JUICESTORM DANGER: STOWELL

3.30 – UK British EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

14/15 – Failed to win last time out
15/15 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
13/15 – Had won over a mile before
13/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/15 – Aged 5 or younger
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
10/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
9/15 – Favourites that finished 4^th or better
9/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/15 – Rated between 82-87
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/15 – Winning favourites

JUICESTORM BEST BET: AURIA
JUICESTORM DANGER: SPIRIT OF THE BAY

4.05 – tote Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

15/18 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/18 – Aged 5 or younger
15/18 – Had won no more than 3 times
14/18 – Had won over 7f before
12/18 – Carried 8-10 or less
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
10/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/18 – Had run at Ascot before (6 winners)
5/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 12 years
The last 8 winners came from a double-figure draw

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

JUICESTORM BEST BET: FRESH
JUICESTORM DANGER: ONE RULER

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – SBK Handicap (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-80) 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Anthony Carson has a 50% record at the track with his 4+ year-olds
Jockey William Buick has a 38% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jack Mitchell has a 30% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Rob Hornby has a 25% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

JUICESTORM BEST BET: VERREAUX EAGLE
JUICESTORM DANGER: MARLAY PARK

2.40 – SBK Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

19/19 – Had won no more than 3 times
15/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/19 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
14/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Finished 4^th or better last time out
14/19 – Favourites placed
12/19 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
8/19 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
7/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby

JUICESTORM BEST BET: WALK OF STARS
JUICESTORM DANGER: UNITED NATIONS

3.15 – SBK Oaks Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4 

16/18 – Had won no more than once before
15/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had no more than 3 career runs
15/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/18 – Came from stall 5 or higher
11/18 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
10/18 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
9/18 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/18 – Having first run of the season
8/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
5/18 – Winners from stall 5
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
4/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/18 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/18 – Trained by William Haggas
2/18 – Irish-trained winners

JUICESTORM BEST BET: EMILY DICKINSON
JUICESTORM DANGER: BELT BUCKLE

3.50 – SBK Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

15/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
12/15 – Won between 1-4 times before
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Had won over 7f before
10/15 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Irish-bred
8/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Drawn in stall 3 (4) or 7 (3)
6/15 – Non UK-trained winners
5/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
3/15 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 12 winners returned double-figures in the betting

JUICESTORM BEST BET: SHE DO
JUICESTORM DANGER: THUNDER BEAUTY