Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Saturday 16th July 2022

Market Rasen and Newbury Racing Tips

Andy

This Saturday we’ve another busy day of LIVE ITV Racing with the cameras heading to Market Rasen and Newbury to take in seven races across the two venues.

At Market Rasen, over the sticks, it’s their biggest day of the season with the Summer Plate Chase (3.14) and Betway Summer Handicap Hurdle (2.41) the feature contests.

Then at Newbury, the Group Three Hackwood Stakes (2.56) tops the bill – a race 15 of the last 18 winners were aged 5 or younger.

Like all big race days, here at JUICESTORM we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 – bet365 Stakes (Reg as the Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

13/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Placed favourites
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
12/17 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/17 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/17 – Had run at the track before
7/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Had won a Group race before
5/17 – Winners from stall 1
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Godolphin have won 5 of the last 12 runnings

JUICESTORM BEST BET: CADILLAC
JUICESTORM DANGER: GROCER JACK

 

2.21 – Highclere Castle Gin Cup Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

Just four previous runnings
4/4 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3/4 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
1/4 – Winning favourites
Scaramanga (13/2) won the race in 2021, Paul Nicholls
Reshoun (14/1) won the race in 2020, Ian Williams
Withhold (17/2) won the race in 2019, Roger Charlton
Stratum (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018, Willie Mullins

JUICESTORM BEST BET: WITHHOLD
JUICESTORM DANGER: RESHOUN

2.56 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

17/18 – Won over 6f before
15/18 – Aged 5 or younger
13/18 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Had won 4 or more times before
11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
7/18 – Had won a Group race before
7/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Winners from stall 8
2/18 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/18 – Trained by William Haggas
2/18 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 7)
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Winners from stall 1
Happy Romance (11/1) won the race in 2021
8 of the last 11 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting

JUICESTORM BEST BET: HAPPY ROMANCE
JUICESTORM DANGER: ROYAL COMMANDO

 

3.30 – Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

16/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/18 – Had won over 5f before
14/18 – Won 1-2 times before
13/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/18 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/18 – Won by a Feb or March foal
10/18 – Irish bred winners
9/18 – Won by a filly
9/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
7/18 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Winners from stall 1
Richard Hannon has trained the winner in 2014, 2018, 2020 & 2021
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017

JUICESTORM BEST BET: ROGUE SPIRIT
JUICESTORM DANGER: MIAMI GIRL

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends

 

2.06 – Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-150) 2m7f ITV

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/7 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/7 – Won between 2-5 times (hurdles)
6/7 – Aged 8 or younger
5/7 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
5/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Won over 3m+ hurdles before
4/7 – Rated between 126-134
3/7 – Unplaced last time out
2/7 – Had run at the track before
1/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 5/1

JUICESTORM BEST BET: ASK PADDINGTON
JUICESTORM DANGER: GIOVANNI CHANGE

 

2.41 – Unibet 15 To Go Summer Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

 17/20 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
15/20 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
15/20 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
13/20 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
11/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/20 – Had run at Market Rasen before
3/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Won by the Pipe stable
14 of the last 15 winners carried 11-5 or less
11 of the last 16 winners carried 11-0 or less
4 of the last 10 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
9 of the last 16 winners retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
Red Force One (5/1) won the race in 2020

JUICESTORM BEST BET: CASTEL GANDOLFO
JUICESTORM DANGER: PISGAH PIKE

 

3.14 – Unibet Summer Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m5 1/2f ITV

19/20 – Had run within the last 3 months
18/20 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
17/20 – Aged 7 or older
14/20 – Had won 2 or more chases before
14/20 – Carried 10-13 or less
14/20 – Had run at Market Rasen before
13/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/20 – Won their previous race
7/20 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
6/20 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/20 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/20 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/20 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 11)
2/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
Francky Du Berlais (11/1) won the race in 2021
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
11 of the last 14 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

JUICESTORM BEST BET: STATUARIO
JUICESTORM DANGER: ROSTELLO

 

 

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