2020 Peter Marsh Chase Free Tips and Trends

Peter Marsh Chase Free Tips

The Peter Marsh Chase is a Grade Two race run over 3m that is staged at Haydock Park racecourse.
First run in 1981 the contest is sometimes billed as another Grand National trial, but we’ve yet to see a winner of this race land the Aintree marathon in the same season, although the 1995 winner, Earth Summit, did go onto win the Grand National 3 years later.

Here at JUICESTORM we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the main stats to look out for ahead of the 2020 renewal – this year run on Saturday January 18th.

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Recent Peter Marsh Chase Winners

2019 – WAKANDA (6/1)
2018 – THE DUTCHMAN (13/2)
2017 – BRISTOL DE MAI (4/1 jfav)
2016 – CLOUDY TOO (6/1)
2015 – SAMSTOWN (16/1)
2014 – WYCHWOODS BROOK (16/1)
2013 – No race
2012 – ACCORDING TO PETE (9/1)
2011 – No race
2010 – OUR VIC (20/1)
2009 – CLOUDY LANE (6/1)
2008 – No race
2007 – THE OUTLIER (8/1)
2006 – EBONY LIGHT (33/1)
2005 – LORD TRANSCEND (9/4 fav)
2004 – ARTIC JACK (6/1)
2003 – TRUCKERS TAVERN (9/2)
2002 – RED STRIKER (8/1)
2001 – No race
2000 – THE LAST FLING (11/2)

Key Peter Marsh Chase Betting Trends

16/16 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
15/16 – Aged 8 or older
15/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
14/16 – Had run within the last 36 days
12/16 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
11/16 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
11/16 – Won at Haydock previously
11/16 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/16 – Favourites unplaced
9/16 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
9/16 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
9/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
8/16 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
8/16 – Won over fences at Haydock before
7/16 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
7/16 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
6/16 – Raced in the Rowland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/16 – Trained by Sue Smith
3/16 – Ridden by Danny Cook
2/16 – Trained by the McCain stable
2/16 – Won their last race
2/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

JUICESTORM VERDICT: Stamina will be the order of the day here in these conditions and over this 3m1f trip. Jockey Sean Bowen has a 45% record when riding over fences here so his mount – Acting Lass – is a good place to start. This Harry Fry runner was a gallant second to Regal Encore at Ascot last time out, but – for me – looked to have a hard race that day in what was a gruelling battle up the home straight, so it remains to be seen if that’s taken it’s toll. Prime Venture looks interesting off a low weight and with a 7lb claimer on too – that will help in the ground. The 11 year-old Definitly Red brings a bit of class to the race and is certainly well-handicapped on old form. But he’s not getting any younger and hasn’t sparkled in two runs so far this season. Champers On Ice has bounced back to form this season and has to enter the mix but I’d just worry that he’s run here twice now and been well beaten both times. Claud And Goldie and Geronimo were both good winners last time out and have a squeak, but would need a bit more – so the two I like here are VINTAGE CLOUDS and MIDNIGHT TUNE. The former hails from the Sue Smith yard that have won this race 4 times in the last 16 runnings. He’s a prove CD winner and looks to be coming to the boil after a fine third here last time to the improving Lord Du Mesnil. He’s 2lbs lower but more importantly will have a lot less weight to carry here – 15lbs less – with Definitly Red bringing the weights down for a lot of these. Then Midnight Tune heads here having won her last two in good fashion and a 5lb rise looks fair. He loves the heavy ground and is proven over trips ranging from 2m to 3m. With only 5 runs over fences also has scope for improvement, while is another that gets in with a light weight (10st 4lbs).

 

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