2020 Greatwood Hurdle Betting Trends & Tips

Greatwood Hurdle Trends and Tips

The Greatwood Hurdle, this year, will at the Cheltenham November Meeting and continues to be sponsored by leading bookmaker Unibet.

Run over 2m ½ f on the Old Course the contest gives National Hunt racing fans some early season pointers ahead of the Champion Hurdle, run at Cheltenham at the Festival in March – Rooster Booster (2002) was the last horse to win this race and go onto land that same season’s Champion Hurdle.

Since 1988 the race has been won four times by the Pipe stable, three times by Philip Hobbs and three times, including in 2015, by ex-champion trainer Paul Nicholls.

Here at JUICESTORM we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2020 renewal…..this year run on Sunday 15th November.

Recent Greatwood Hurdle Winners

2019 – HARAMBE (16/1)
2018 – NIETZSCHE (20/1)
2017 – ELGIN (10/1)
2016 – NORTH HILL HARVEY (6/1)
2015 – OLD GUARD (12/1)
2014 – GARDE LA VICTOIRE (10/1)
2013 – DELL ‘ARCA (12/1)
2012 – OLOFI (8/1)
2011 – BRAMPOUR (12/1)
2010 – MENORAH (6/1)
2009 – KHYBER KIM (9/1)
2008 – NUMIDE (5/1)
2007 – SIZING EUROPE (5/1)
2006 – DETROIT CITY (6/5 fav)
2005 – LINGO (5/1)
2004 – ACCORDION ETOILE (100/30 fav)
2003 – RIGMAROLE (33/1)
2002 – ROOSTER BOOSTER (7/1)

Greatwood Hurdle Betting Trends and Stats

16/18 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
16/18 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
14/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
12/18 – Officially rated 140 or higher
12/18 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/18 – Had run at Cheltenham before
11/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/18 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
10/18 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
8/18 – Carried 11-4 or more
8/18 – Placed favourites
7/18 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/18 – Won their previous race
6/18 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/18 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/18 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 3)
1/18 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 10/1
6 of the last 11 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

 

 

JUICESTORM VERDICT: We saw the Alan King-trained Harambe win this race 12 months ago but off a 6lb higher mark he’s got more to find – we’ve not had a back-to-back winner of the race going back to 1987. Horses aged 4 and 5 have the best records – winning 14 of the last 18, while 13 of the last 18 winners had had a recent run in the last 6 weeks.  The Alan King yard have also won 2 of the last 3 runnings so as well as having last year’s winner – Harambe – they also have a big chance with the 6 year—old Edwardstone. He showed a lot of promise around this time last season but was well down the field in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle at the Festival in March and needs to bounce back. In his defence the quicker ground here will be a lot more to his liking and he’s been freshened up – he can go well. Tegerek was a tidy winner over this CD last time and looks progressive, but his is harder and he’s up 8lbs this time. Proschema has the form to go well too, but he I’d just be worried about him getting up the hill as he’s not really progressed as many thought he would. It’s hard to knock the Pipe runner – Main Fact – too after winning on the flat recently and prior to that winning five times over hurdles – in total, he’s won his last 8 races under both codes. It’s hard to know where he’s going to end up – he could keep on progressing, but does return on a 15lb higher rating over the sticks. The old-boy Ballyandy should go well at a venue he loves and will be popular with the e/w backers, but there is no hiding place with the handicapper for him these days. So, the two I like are the Paul Nicholls-trained TYYME WHITE and the Philip Hobbs runner OAKLEY (e/w), if running. The former is up 11lbs for winning at Chepstow last time out but he won by an easy 3 lengths that day and the runner-up has since franked the form by running the useful Botox Has to 4 lengths here last month. Yes, he flopped a bit in the Fred Winter here in March, but the better ground will help and at the age of just 4 years-old he’s clearly still learning the game – with another summer on his back he can be a better horse this season. Oakley was 15 lengths behind Saint Roi in the County Hurdle here in March but has run well at the track prior to that and with the Hobbs yard starting to fire in some winners he looks interesting with just 10-9 to carry.

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