The Eider Chase is run over a gruelling 4m1f trip at Newcastle racecourse and is a handicap race that is seen as another key Grand National trial ahead of the big Liverpool race the following month. In recent years the David Pipe-trained Comply Or Die (2008) is the most recent example of the winner of this race going onto land the Merseyside Marathon that same season.
We take a look back at recent winners and give you all the key trends and stats to take into the 2020 renewal – this year run on Saturday 22nd Feb.
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Recent Eider Chase Winners
2019 – CROSSPARK (12/1)
2018 – BAYWING (8/1)
2017 – BAYWING (8/1)
2017 – MYSTEREE (10/1)
2016 – ROCKING BLUES (8/1)
2015 – MILBOROUGH (18/1)
2014 – WYCK HILL (9/1)
2013 – No Race
2012 – PORTRAIT KING (11/4fav)
2011 – COMPANERO (16/1)
2010 – No Race
2009 – MERIGO (5/1)
2008 – COMPLY OR DIE (11/1)
2007 – NIL DESPERANDUM (6/1)
2006 – PHILSON RUN (10/1)
2005 – No Race
2004 – TYNEANDTHYNEAGAIN (28/1)
2003 – No Race
2002 – THIS IS SERIOUS (4/1 fav)
2001 – NARROW WATER (6/1)
2000 – SCOTTON GREEN (8/1)
Key Eider Chase Betting Trends
16/16 – Had won over at least 3m before
14/16 – Aged 10 or younger
13/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
13/16 – Priced 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Irish-bred
11/16 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Officially rated between 131-140
10/16 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/16 – Placed favourites
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/16 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1
JUICESTORM VERDICT: Most of these horses would not have gone anywhere near this far in trip during their careers so backing anything would have a certain amount of risk attached to it. Course winner – Fortified Bay – heads here in the form of it’s life after wins at Market Rasen and Newcastle. He’s up another 7lbs here but is clearly a horse on the up and is sure to be popular. Calipso Collonges and Glittering Love are others that have been running well of late, but, again need to prove themselves over this sort of trip. Over To Sam is another improving staying chaser that got off the mark at Plumpton last month, but I’d just be worried about his lack of experience in a race like this – it will only be his third career run over fences. Course winner, Ascot De Bruyere should go well, while Very First Time and Theligny were both nice winners last time out so head here in form, but with stamina a must-have in this race, especially in soft/heavy ground, then the Evan Williams runner – PRIME VENTURE (e/w) – looks a good option. He was fourth in the Welsh National over 3m6f back in December and is only a pound higher in the ratings. Yes, it won’t be easy with 11st 12lbs to carry, but 3 horses (from last 16) have won this this burden so it can be done. A recent second at Exeter was another fair effort – doing his best work at the finish, so, unlike most of the others, at least we know he’s run well over this sort of trip in the past. Of the rest, Petite Power and the Pipe-trained Hugo ‘N Taz are others to consider.
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