2019 Vertem Futurity Trophy Betting Trends and Tips

Vertem Futurity Trophy Betting Tips

Many people will know the race as the Racing Post Trophy but we’ve a new sponsor this year, with the race now run as the VERTEM FUTURITY TROPHY. The race is staged each year at Doncaster racecourse and is for 2 year-olds only.

The Group One race is run over a distance of 1m and is an excellent guide and trial to the following year’s Classics, in particular the 2,000 Guineas and Epsom Derby – backed up in recent years with High Chaparral, Motivator, Authorized and, most-recently, Camelot all winning the Vertem Futurity Trophy before going onto take the Epsom Derby the following season, while the last two winners – Saxon Warrior & Magna Grecia – went onto land the 2,000 Guineas the following season.

Plus, jockey Andrea Atzeni has been having a cracking time in the race in recent years – winning it 4 times in the last six years, while trainer Aidan O’Brien has win the race 9 times.

We take a look back at recent winners and highlights the key stats ahead of the 2019 renewal – this year run on Saturday 26th October.

Recent Vertum Futurity Trophy Winners

2018 – Magna Grecia (2/1 fav)
2017 – Saxon Warrior (13/8 fav)
2016 – Rivet (11/4)
2015 – Marcel (33/1)
2014 – Elm Park (13/8 fav)
2013 – Kingston Hill (7/2 fav)
2012 – Kingsbarns (15/8 fav)
2011 – Camelot (10/11 fav)
2010 – Casamento (2/1 fav)
2009 – St Nicholas Abbey (13/8 fav)
2008 – Crowded House (7/1)
2007 – Ibn Khaldun (11/4 fav)
2006 – Authorized (25/1)
2005 – Palace Episode (20/1)
2004 – Motivator (6/4 fav)
2003 – American Post (5/6 fav)
2002 – Brian Boru (11/8 fav)

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Newbury

 

Vertum Futurity Betting Trends

15/17 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
15/17 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
15/17 – Placed favourites
14/17 – Foaled in February or later
14/17 – Finished in the top two last time out
14/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/17 – Winning favourites
12/17 – Had raced at least twice previously
11/17 – Won their last race
11/17 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/17 – Had won over a mile in the past
10/17 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (7) last time out
7/17 – Won by an Irish-based yard
6/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/17 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/17 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
3/17 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
3/17 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
1/17 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017 & 2018
The average SP in the last 17 runnings is 13/2

 

Well, with five of the six entries, then trainer Aidan O’Brien looks to have a great chance of making it win number 10 in this Group One. He’s shown in the past that you can’t rule out any of his runners in these top races and has won many a Group One with his ‘so-called’ second strings. The fly in the ointment with regards to the O’Brien runners is the Andrew Balding-trained Kameko, and he’s not without a chance. Most neutrals will probably be cheering this one on as it’s a shame a G1 with over £100k in prize money has only attracted runners from two yards! Kameko was a good second in the G2 Royal Lodge last time out over a mile – form that would see him go well here. But he’s yet to race on ground this soft so that would be the unknown and the potential concern. Of the O’Brien runners recent winners Innisfree and Louisiana can’t be ruled out, especially as they should have more to come, but it’s hard to get away from MOGUL, who looks their clear first-string. This Galileo colt looks another to come out of the yard that could go to the very top. He’s also won twice over a mile and is bred to get further so next season the Guineas and Derby will be the obvious targets if taking this. Softer ground should be fine and the manner of his last two wins suggests he’s improving fast. Iberia and Royal County Down make up the rest of the O’Brien runners.

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