2019 Lockinge Stakes Free Tips and Trends

Newbury horse racing trends

The Lockinge Stakes is a Group One race staged at Newbury racecourse and run over a distance of 1 mile.

First run in 1958 the contest is for 3 year-olds and older horses and has been won 4 times in the last 8 years by the Richard Hannon yard. In recent years the race has also been dominated by 4 year-olds, with 12 of the last 16 runnings going to horses in that age group, while 14 of the last 16 winners hailed from the first three in the betting.

Here at JUICESTORM we look back at past winners of the race, plus are on-hand with all the key ahead of the 2019 renewal – this year run on Saturday 18th May.

 

Recent Lockinge Stakes Winners

2018 – RHODODENDRON (10/3 fav)
2017 – RIBCHESTER (7/4 fav)
2016 – BELARDO (8/1)
2015 – NIGHT OF THUNDER (11/4 jfav)
2014 – OLYMPIC GLORY (11/8 fav)
2013 – FARHH (10/3)
2012 – FRANKEL (2/7 fav)
2011 – CANFORD CLIFFS (4/5 fav)
2010 – PACO BOY (8/11 fav)
2009 – VIRTUAL (6/1)
2008 – CREACHADOIR (3/1 fav)
2007 – RED EVIE (8/1)
2006 – PEERESS (4/1)
2005 – RAKTI (7/4 fav)
2004 – RUSSIAN RHYTHM (3/1 fav)
2003 – HAWK WING (2/1 fav)

Lockinge Stakes Betting Trends

16/16 – Won over a mile before
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won a Group One race before
13/16 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
13/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
11/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/16 – Winning favourites
10/16 – Having their first run of the season
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
5/16 – Godolphin owned
4/16 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/16 – Won by a mare
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
2/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 7 times in all)
1/16 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 3/1

JUICESTORM VERDICT: The Hannon camp will be looking for their fifth Lockinge success since 2010 – they will be pinning their hopes on last year’s 1,000 Guineas winner – Billesdon Brook – but this 4 year-old hasn’t won a race since and looks to have a bit to answer. Without Parole is another that’s form tailed off after looking promising last season but the first-time blinkers and Frankie riding then he can’t be totally ruled out. Beat The Bank is back up in grade after winning well last time out – but, for me, he’s a horse that just seems to fall short at the top level. O’Brien and Ryan Moore will be looking to add to last year’s success in the race – this time with Le Brivido – who looks a big player. He’s lightly-raced but would have a bit to prove over this 1m trip – however, was staying on well over 7f to suggest it will suit and should be in the mix – O’Brien also has I Can Fly but with Moore picking Le Brivido then he looks their second string. The Stoute yard also have a good record in the race (7 wins in total) so their MUSTASHRY (e/w) can go well too. This 6 year-old was a fair third last time out the Earl Of Sefton Stakes but looked like he needed that run and the drop back to a mile will be better. 4 year-olds also have a good record in the race so of this age group Laurens, who gets a handy 3lbs from the boys, will be popular but I was taken by the way MYTHICAL MAGIC (e/w) won in Dubai last time so he’s the other call. This Godolphin runner has only finished out of the top three once from 9 starts and seems a better horse since being gelded last summer. He’ll be fitter than most and the boys in blue have won this race three times in the last four years.

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