2019 Irish 2,000 Guineas Free Tips and Trends

Irish 2000 Guineas Free Betting Tips

Staged at The Curragh racecourse the Irish 2,000 Guineas is a Group One class race for 3 year-olds only. Run over 1m the contest takes place each year in May and was first run in 1921.

Horses that contested the English 2,000 Guineas often go onto run in this race, while winners of the Irish 2,000 Guineas tend to take in the St James’s Palace Stakes, at Royal Ascot the following month.

Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won four of the last seven runnings, while in total, O’Brien has won the race a staggering 11 times.

We take a look back at past winners, plus have all the key trends ahead of the 2019 renewal  Irish 2,000 Guineas– this year run on Sat May 25th – did you know that ALL of the last 17 winners had raced in the last 3 weeks, while 14 of the last 17 ran at Newmarket last time out?

Recent Irish 2000 Guineas Winners

2018 – ROMANISED (25/1)
2017 – CHURCHILL (4/9 fav)
2016 – AWTAAD (9/2)
2015 – GLENEAGLES (2/5 fav)
2014 – KINGMAN (4/5 fav)
2013 – MAGICIAN (10/3)
2012 – POWER (5/1)
2011 – RODERIC O’CONNOR (7/2)
2010 – CANFORD CLIFFS (9/4 fav)
2009 – MASTERCRAFTSMAN (6/4 fav)
2008 – HENRYTHENAVIGATOR (5/4)
2007 – COCKNEY REBEL (6/4 fav)
2006 – ARAAFA (12/1)
2005 – DUBAWI (7/4 jfav)
2004 – BACHELOR (12/1)
2003 – INDIAN HAVEN (8/1)
2002 – ROCK OF GIBRALTAR (4/7 fav)

 

Irish 2000 Guineas Betting Trends and Stats

17/17 – Had run within the last 3 weeks
14/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
14/17 – Had won over either 7f or 1m before
13/17 – Favourites that finished in the top two
13/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Had won between 1-4 times before
12/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Had run at the Curragh before
11/17 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
10/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/17 – Had won a Group 1 race before
8/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
8/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Unplaced last time out
7/17 – Trained by a UK-based stable
7/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Won the 2,000 Guineas (Newmarket) that season
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 5/1
Rock of Gibraltar (2002), Cockney Rebel (2007), Henrythenavigator (2008), Gleneagles (2015) & Churchill (2017) all did the English/Irish 2,000 Guineas double

JUICESTORM VERDICT: The powerful Aidan O’Brien yard have won this race a staggering 11 times and five of the 14 runners he’s throwing a lot of ammo at the prize again. Of his bunch, his 2,000 Guineas winner MAGNA GRECIA is the clear form pick as he looks to become the latest O’Brien runner to win both the English and Irish Guineas – he’s managed it four times since 2002. His Invincible Spirit colt won that Newmarket Classic by an easy 2 ½ lengths and with that coming on just his fourth career run should have more improvement to come. He beat one of the main English challengers – Phoenix Of Spain – in the Vertum Futurity Trophy last October but looks to have kicked-on again over the winter and can take this. The Gosden-trained Too Darn Hot will be his biggest threat – and being he’s rated 8lbs higher than the selection is the one to beat. The yard won this race in 2014 with Kingman too and a recent second in the Dante Stakes should have blown away the cobwebs. The drop back to a mile will suit, but I’d just be worried how hard a race he had last time as he got into a bit of a battle with the winner – Telecaster. He’s the one to beat, but will this race come just a bit too soon – we’ll see. Of the rest, Guineas third Skardu can’t be ruled out, while the best of the other Irish runners looks to be Decrypt, who won well at Cork last month to suggest there is more in the locker.

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