2019 Denman Chase Free Tips and Trends

Denman Chase Trends

**Note, the 2019 Denman Chase is now set to be run at Ascot on Saturday 16th Feb**

Staged at Newbury racecourse the Betfair-sponsored Denman Chase is a Grade Two race that is run in February each year.

First run in 2000, the Denman Chase is always a hotly-contested race that is run over a trip of 3 miles, and over the years has provided plenty of clues ahead of the Cheltenham Gold Cup. Four horses have won this race before going onto land the Cheltenham Gold Cup that same season – Kauto Star (2007), Denman (2008), Coneygree (2015) & Native River (2018).

In 2017 – Native River won the Denman Chase before running third in the Gold Cup.
The race was upgraded to Listed status in 2002 and then promoted further in 2003 to a Grade Two – which it remains at today.

Did You Know? 11 of the last 15 Denman Chase winners were aged 8 or younger?

The contest was originally sponsored by the Aon Group, but in 2012 leading betting exchange – Betfair – took over the sponsorship mantle, and in the process also renamed the race the ‘Denman Chase’ in honour of the 2008 winner.

Since 2000 leading National Hunt trainer – Paul Nicholls – has won the race 8 times, while if you like your trends it’s worth noting that 6 of the last 12 winners of the Denman Chase were aged 7 years-old.

Here at JUICESTORM we look back at recent winners of the race and highlights the key stats ahead of the 2019 renewal – this year staged on Saturday 9th February.

Recent Denman Chase Winners

2018 – Native River (8/11 fav)
2017 – Native River (11/10)
2016 – Houblon des Obeaux (3/1)
2015 – Coneygree (15/8 fav)
2014 – Harry Topper (7/2)
2013 – Silviniaco Conti (8/11 fav)
2012 – Long Run (4/7 fav)
2011 – Noland (13/2)
2010 – Tricky Trickster (8/1)
2009 – Madison du Berlais (12/1)
2008 – Denman (1/4 fav)
2007 – Kauto Star (2/9 fav)

Denman Chase Trends

13/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Rated 150+
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Aged 8 or younger
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (4 winners)
9/15 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
9/15 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
6/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
5/15 – French bred
4/15 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman, Kauto Star & Native River)
3/15 – Returned a double-figure price
3/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
6 of the last 12 winners were aged 7 years-old
The average SP in the last 12 runnings is 10/3

JUICESTORM VERDICT:

Moved from the lost Newbury card of last weekend but with the change of venue then no Native River, which is a shame – he’ll head straight to Cheltenham now. So, not a great renewal and really if the current ratings are anything to go by then the King George VI Chase winner, CLAN DES OBEAUX, should be taking this with a fair amount of ease. He’s rated 173, which is 14lbs higher than the likes of Terrefort, while at just 7 years-old here could be even more to come from this Paul Nicholls-trained chaser – he’ll be looking to give the yard their ninth success in the race. Ballyhill and Thomas Patrick make up the four runners, but being rated 143 and 145 have a lot of ground to make-up on the selection if official ratings are to be trusted.

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