2019 Clarence House Chase Betting Trends and Free Tips

Clarence House Chase Trends

Staged at Ascot racecourse the Clarence House Chase is a Grade One contest run over a distance of 2m1f.

The Clarence House Chase was first run back in 1989 when the popular Desert Orchid won the prize as a 10 year-old. The race is also a good guide to that season’s Queen Mother Champion Chase with Sprinter Sacre landing both races in 2013, Sire de Grugy in 2014, while Dodging Bullets did the same double in 2015. In more recent years, the Willie Mullins-trained Un De Sceaux has made the race his own by landing the last three renewals.

Trainer Paul Nicholls has also won the race five times, Nicky Henderson four times, but – as mentioned – the Willie Mullins camp have taken the last three runnings.

Here at JUICESTORM we are on hand with all the key stats ahead of the 2019 renewal – this year run on Saturday 19th January.

Recent Clarence House Chase Winners

2018 – UN DE SCEAUX (4/9 fav)
2017 – UN DE SCEAUX (1/2 fav)
2016 – UN DE SCEAUX (1/2 fav)
2015 – DODGING BULLETS (7/2)
2014 – SIRE DE GRUGY (5/4 fav)
2013 – SPRINTER SACRE (1/5 fav)
2012 – SOMERSBY (9/2)
2011 – MASTER MINDED (4/7 fav)
2010 – TWIST MAGIC (11/8 fav)
2009 – MASTER MINDED (1/4 fav)
2008 – TAMARINBLEU (12/1)
2007 – No Race
2006 – TYSOU (10/1)
2005 – WELL CHIEF (5/1)
2004 – ISIO (4/1)
2003 – No Race

Clarence House Chase Past Trends

16/16 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
16/16 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
15/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/16 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
11/16 – Won their last race
10/16 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
10/16 – Raced at Sandown (6) or Wetherby (3) last time out
9/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/16 – Favourites that won
8/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
4/16 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 – Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre 2013, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets)
4/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
4/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
4/16 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
3/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 4 times in all)
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
Since 1989 there have only been 3 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (28 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 3/1

It’s a shame the winner of this race for the last three years – Un De Sceaux – doesn’t make the trip over – the rain just hasn’t come for him this week. That leaves just three in the race and with one of those being ALTIOR then this looks a penalty-kick for the Nicky Henderson star chaser. He’s now looking for his twelfth straight win and having beaten one of his rivals here – Diego Du Charmil – by 19 lengths last time at Kempton then it would be one of the shocks of the decade if he can reverse that form. Fox Norton makes up the trip and is certainly no back-number if back to his best. He’s rated only 8lbs lower than Altior, so if fit enough after a lay-off then can hopefully make a race of it. He’s gone well fresh in the past and the Tizzard yard have been going well this week. An interesting race that is likely to develop into a match between Fox Norton and Altior, but with the last-named yet to lose over fences and also being a proven winner at the track then it’s hard to see anything other than win number 12 for Henderson’s charge.

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