2019 Champion Chase Trends and Free Tips

Champion Chase Trends

Staged at the Cheltenham Festival each March the Grade One Queen Mother Champion Chase is run over 2m, with 12 fences to tackle. This is where JUICESTORM give you the key Champion Chase trends to help you find the winner based on past statistics – use these trends to whittle down the 2019 Champion Chase runners and find the best past winning profile.

The betting for the 2019 Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase sees last season’s winner of this race – Altior – heading the market as he bids to give trainer Nicky Henderson his sixth win in the race and his fifth since 2012.

Altior will be looking to become the first horse since Master Minded (2008/09) to successfully defend his title.

Run as the featured race on the second day (Wednesday) of the festival the race was first run back in 1959 and given the ‘Queen Mother’ title in 1980 to celebrate the Queen mum’s 80th birthday.

We look back at recent winners and highlights the key trends to take into the 2019 renewal – this year run on Wednesday 13th March.

 

Recent Queen Mother Champion Chase Winners

2018 – ALTIOR (Evs fav)
2017 – SPECIAL TIARA (11/1)
2016 – SPRINTER SACRE (5/1)
2015 – DODGING BULLETS (9/2)
2014 – SIRE DE GRUGY (11/4 fav)
2013 – SPRINTER SACRE (1/4 fav)
2012 – FINIAN’S RAINBOW (4/1)
2011 – SIZING EUROPE (10/1)
2010 – BIG ZEB (10/1)
2009 – MASTER MINDED (4/11 fav)
2008 – MASTER MINDED (3/1)
2007 – VOY POR USTEDES (5/1)
2006 – NEWMILL (16/1)
2005 – MOSCOW FLYER (6/4 fav)
2004 – AZERTYUIOP (15/8 fav)
2003 – MOSCOW FLYER (7/4 fav)

Queen Mother Champion Chase Betting Trends

 

15/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
14/16 – Had won at least 5 times over fences before
14/16 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before
12/16 – Won last time out
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
7/16 – French bred
7/16 – Irish bred
6/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
6/16 – Won the Arkle Chase the previous season
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ran in the Tied Cottage Chase (Punchestown) last time out
3/16 – Ran in the Game Spirit Chase (Newbury) last time out
3/16 – Had won the race before
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 5/1

Other Queen Mother Champion Chase Stats

12 of the last 18 winners ran in that season’s Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown)
21 of the last 34 winners had previously won at the Cheltenham Festival
36 of the last 37 winners returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
16 of the last 17 Arkle Chase winners to run the next season in this have finished placed or better
16 of the last 17 winners had won a Grade One Chase previously

 

Champion Chase – 21 Year Trends

15/21 – British-trained winners
6/21 – Irish-trained winners
Willie Mullins (Ire) is yet to train the winner
Nicky Henderson (UK) has trained 4 of the last 7 winners (won the race 5 times in total)
Paul Nicholls (UK) has trained 5 of the last 19 winners
Henry de Bromhead (Ire) has trained 2 of the last 8 winners
Jessica Harrington (Ire) has trained 2 of the last 16 winners

 

JUICESTORM VERDICT: Let’s keep this short and sweet – ALTIOR – will win this! Yes, no prizes for value or originality here but with 12 straight wins over fences then…….if it ain’t broke don’t try and fix it. He’s the current champ and it will be the biggest Festival shock if he’s not taking this again.

 

 

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