Run over 1m1f the Cambridgeshire Handicap is staged at Newmarket racecourse on their Rowley Mile track. First run in 1839 the contest is the first race in what’s known as the Autumn Double, with the Cesarewitch being the other race run in October.
We take a look ahead to the 2019 renewal of the Bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap, this year run on Saturday 28th September – giving you the key stats to look out for…..Did you know ALL of the last 17 winners were aged 6 or younger?
Recent Cambridgeshire Handicap Winners
2018 – Wissahickon (11/1)
2017 – Dolphin Vista (50/1)
2016 – Spark Plug (12/1)
2015 – Third Time Lucky (14/1)
2014 – Bronze Angel (14/1)
2013 – Educate (8/1 fav)
2012 – Bronze Angel (9/1)
2011 – Prince of Johanne (40/1)
2010 – Credit Swap (14/1)
2009 – Supaseus (16/1)
2008 – Tazeez (25/1)
2007 – Pipedreamer (5/1 fav)
2006 – Formal Decree (9/1)
2005 – Blue Monday (5/1 fav)
2004 – Spanish Don (100/1)
2003 – Chivalry (14/1)
2002 – Beauchamp Pilot (14/1)
Key Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends
17/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Won 3 or more times in their career
14/17 – Carried 9-5 or less
13/17 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
13/17 – Won from a double-figure stall
13/17 – Unplaced favourites
13/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/17 – Finished 5th or better last time out
11/17 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/17 – Rated between 90-100
12/17 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
9/17 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Won their last race
11 of the last 13 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 21/1
JUICESTORM VERDICT: The normal big-field line-up here with 33 runners heading to post. There are plenty of key trends to take into the race though like ALL of the last 17 winners aged 6 or younger – this is a negative for Nicholas T. But with 13 of the last 17 winners aged between 4-6 years-old then this does knock out the 3 year-olds – Dark Vision, Lord North, Good Birthday, Smile A Mile, Korcho, Chance, Majestic Dawn and the well-fancied pair of Le Don De Vie & Fifth Position. Horses drawn in double-figures is another thing to note, but with 30+ runners most years then the bulk of the entries will have high draws anyway! Placed 5th or better last time out is another trend to look at, while 14 of the last 17 winners carried 9-5 or less in weight. Trainer John Gosden has a good record in the race so his Lord North, with Frankie riding will be on most people’s shortlist. However, at 3 years-old this might be a negative, plus he’s only had four career runs which might not be ideal in a race with 32 other runners in. Having raced in the last few months is another trend to have on side. So, taking most of those main stats on board the ones that stand out are – BEDOUIN’S STORY, BALTIC BARON, YOU’RE HIRED, LITTLE JO, ZZORO and ISOMER. It might be worth having a small saver on the last four-named as they are all massive prices, but of that six BALTIC BARON (e/w) and BEDOUIN’S STORY (e/w) look the more realistic. The former has draw 30 and will be ridden by the in-form Danny Tudhope for the David O’Meara yard. This 4 year-old was third (of 3) last time out at Doncaster but not beaten far but looks the sort to benefit from this extra furlong. Godolphin’s Bedouin’s Story has won 4 times (from 13 runs) on the turf but is another that should be well-suited by the extra yardage if his breeding is anything to go by. The horse acts on any ground too and draw 12 (in the middle) will give jockey Hector Crouch plenty of options.
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