Run over 6f, the Ayr Gold Cup is a handicap race open to horses aged 3 or older and staged at Ayr racecourse. The line-up is put together from the highest-rated horses entered, with the maximum number of runners currently standing at 27 – any horses that don’t make the race are offered the chance to run in the consolation races – the Ayr Silver and Bronze Cups. Did you know since 1980 we’ve seen just 3 winning favourites?
Here at JuiceStorm we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2019 renewal – this year run on Saturday 21st September.
Recent Ayr Gold Cup Winners
2018 – Baron Bolt (28/1) & Son Of A Rest (5/1 fav)
2017 – Donjuan Triumphant (13/2)
2016 – Brando (11/1)
2015 – Don’t Touch (6/1 fav)
2014 – Louis The Pious (10/1)
2013 – Highland Colori (20/1)
2012 – Captain Ramius (16/1)
2011 – Our Jonathan (11/1)
2010 – Redford (14/1)
2009 – Jimmy Styles (14/1)
2008 – Regal Parade (18/1)
2007 – Advanced (20/1)
2006 – Fonthill Road (16/1)
2005 – Presto Shinko (12/1)
2004 – Funfair Wane (33/1)
2003 – Quito (20/1)
2002 – Funfair Wane (16/1)
Key Ayr Gold Cup Betting Trends
18/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/18 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
14/18 – Had won over 6f before
13/18 – Failed to win their last race
12/18 – Carried 9-1 or more
12/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/18 – Rated 90-101
11/18 – Came from a double-figure stall
10/18 – Had 7 or more runs that season
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Had raced at Ayr before
9/18 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
9/18 – Winning distance 1 length or less
4/18 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Winning favourites (3 winning favs since 1980)
0/18 – Filly or mare winners
The last 10 winners came from stalls 8 or lower (4 of the last 14 winners came from stall 8)
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 15/1
Note: The 2019 renewal was a dead-heat
JUICESTORM VERDICT: With 12 of the last 18 winners aged 4 or 5 years-old, plus carrying 9-1 or more in weight then these stats mean only a handful qualify. Add in that ALL of the last 18 winners ran in the last 6 weeks then the ones that standout are JUSTANOTHERBOTTLE, SUMMERGHAND, HEY JONESY, LAUGH A MINUTE, BUFFER ZONE, BACCHUS and MAJOR JUMBO. Of that bunch the 4 year-old Buffer Zone, who comes over from Ireland, will be popular but has been backed off the boards this midweek so in a race like this doesn’t look to be much value. Yes, he could be a blot on the handicap and turn out to be much better than handicap class, but unless you were on at the bigger prices the value looks to have gone. So, of that bunch the David O’Meara runner – SUMMERGHAND (e/w) – might be the better value. This consistent five year-old was a good second in the Great St Wilfrid Handicap at Ripon last time out and with the winner – Dakota Gold – looking very useful that form is solid. Draw 13 will give him options to go either way and despite running 11th in the race last year that came on heavy ground. Others further down the weights to note are Gulliver, who often runs well in these big-field handicaps, Arecibo – both from the David O’Meara yard. But another from the O’Meara yard – INTISAAB (e/w) – also looks interesting. This CD winner was third at Doncaster last time out and is only a pound higher here. He’s not getting any younger at 8 years-old but was rated 9lbs higher in the ratings earlier this season so his current mark of 99 looks very attractive to say the least. Draw 7 is a plus too, while jockey Angus Villiers takes off a handy 7lbs from the saddle to make his mark look even more attractive.
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