2018 Peter Marsh Free Tips and Trends

Peter Marsh Free Tips

The Peter Marsh Chase is a Grade Two race run over 3m that is staged at Haydock Park racecourse.
First run in 1981 the contest is sometimes billed as another Grand National trial, but we’ve yet to see a winner of this race land the Aintree marathon in the same season, although the 1995 winner, Earth Summit, did go onto win the Grand National 3 years later.

Here at JUICESTORM we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the main stats to look out for ahead of the 2018 renewal – this year run on Saturday January 20th.

Recent Peter Marsh Chase Winners

2017 – BRISTOL DE MAI (4/1 jfav)
2016 – CLOUDY TOO (6/1)
2015 – SAMSTOWN (16/1)
2014 – WYCHWOODS BROOK (16/1)
2013 – No race
2012 – ACCORDING TO PETE (9/1)
2011 – No race
2010 – OUR VIC (20/1)
2009 – CLOUDY LANE (6/1)
2008 – No race
2007 – THE OUTLIER (8/1)
2006 – EBONY LIGHT (33/1)
2005 – LORD TRANSCEND (9/4 fav)
2004 – ARTIC JACK (6/1)
2003 – TRUCKERS TAVERN (9/2)
2002 – RED STRIKER (8/1)
2001 – No race
2000 – THE LAST FLING (11/2)

Key Peter Marsh Chase Betting Trends

14/14 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
13/14 – Aged 8 or older
13/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
12/14 – Had run within the last 36 days
11/14 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
10/14 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
10/14 – Won at Haydock previously
9/14 – Favourites unplaced
9/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/14 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
8/14 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/14 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
8/14 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
7/14 – Irish bred
6/14 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
6/14 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
6/14 – Won over fences at Haydock before
5/14 – Raced in the Roland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
3/14 – Trained by Sue Smith
2/14 – Trained by the McCain stable
2/14 – Won their last race
2/14 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 10/1


JUICESTORM VERDICT: The classy Bristol De Mai romped away with this race 12 months ago, but it’s unlikely this year we are going to see anything of that potential win the race – I might be wrong! Looking at the key trends – with 13 of the last 14 winners of the Peter Marsh aged 8 or older then this at least knocks out the three 7 year-olds in the race – Forest des Aigles, Tinern Theatre and Hainan. In fact, 8 and 9 years-old have the best recent record with 8 of the last 14 wins between them. Based on this the 8 year-old WALK IN THE MILL (e/w) looks interesting. He was a solid third last time out at Ascot and off just 2lbs higher can be expected to go well again. He’s also won on soft ground, plus very soft ground in France so the conditions here will post no issues. Captain Redbeard was a good winner of the Tommy Whittle Chase here last month so is sure to be popular too. However, he’s up 9lbs this time for that victory and this looks just as tough. YALA ENKI (e/w) is another that will relish conditions, but does have a bit to find with Walk In The Mill based on their Ascot run last time out. The softer ground, however, will be more to his liking and this Venetia Williams-trained runner, who is also a course winner, looks very interesting with Charlie Deutsch claiming a handy 3lbs. Of the rest, Rock The Kasbah is another that should go well. A nice winner last time out at Chepstow back in October and has clearly had this race as a target since. He goes well fresh so the 98 day break is not a worry and he’s another course winner at the track. A 7lb rise for that last win does mean more is needed, but from his 8 runs over fences has hit the top three 6 times to suggest he’s one for the placepot players out there.