2018 December (Caspian Caviar) Gold Cup Betting Trends & Tips

2018 December (Caspian Caviar) Gold Cup Betting Tips

The December Gold Cup has been runs as the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup since 2014 and is run over 2m5f at Cheltenham’s December Meeting each season around the middle of the month.

In recent years Paul Nicholls’ Poquelin has won the prize twice (2009 and 2010), plus Nicholls also took the prize in 2012 with Unioniste. Nicky Henderson is another trainer to look out for – having won the race three times since 2002.

It’s generally been a good contest for the bookmakers with just one winning favourite in the last 16 runnings (last winning market leader was in 1996), but that’s not to say those at the head of the market don’t do well as 10 of the last 16 winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting.

Here at JUICESTORM we take a look back at recent winners and give you all the trends that matter ahead of the 2018 renewal – this year run on December 15th.

 

Recent December (Caspian Caviar) Cup Winners

 

2016 – Frodon (14/1)
2015 – Villiage Vic (8/1)
2014 – Niceonefrankie (16/1)
2013 – Double Ross (7/1)
2012 – Unioniste (15/2)
2011 – Quantitativeeasing (6/1)
2010 – Poquelin (16/1)
2009 – Poquelin (7/2 fav)
2008 – Abandoned
2007 – Tamarinbleu (22/1)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (8/1)
2005 – Sir Oj (16/1)
2004 – Monkerhostin (4/1)
2003 – Iris Royal (7/1)
2002 – Fondmort (5/1)
2001 – Abandoned
2000 – Go Roger Go (7/1)

December (Caspian Caviar) Gold Cup Betting Trends

15/15 – Aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
12/15 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
11/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (no winners)
10/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (4 won)
10/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Officially rated 142 or higher
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/15 – French bred
7/15 – Carried 10-13 or more
5/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/15 – Ran in the BetVictor (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
4/15 – Finished in the top 5 in the Bet Victor Gold Cup last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
1/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

JUICESTORM VERDICT: Plenty of key trends to take into the race and with most in his favour it’s hard to get away from the chance of BARON ALCO (e/w). The Gary Moore team are in great form at the moment and this 7 year-old was a top winner here last month. A 6lb rise makes life harder but he beat Frodon by 2 lengths that day and looked to have a bit more up his sleeve. Prior to that he was a close second to the classy Charbel at Chepstow and that form has been given a boost after that horse landed the Peterborough Chase easily last Sunday. Baron Alco loves the track too – his form over fences here reads 3-2-2-1! Rather Be will be also be popular and was in the process of running a big race behind Baron Alco last time until being brought down. He ticks a lot of the trends too, but Baron looks the better value. Of the rest, last year’s winner – GUITAR PETE (e/w) – is another to note as he was third behind Baron Alco last time out and is only 3lbs higher than when winning this 12 months ago. He gets in with a light weight too and also seems to have the bulk of the main trends on his side. Recent winners, Mr Medic and War Sound, are others to consider, while with just 10-0 to carry the Paul Nicholls-trained Romain De Senam looks best of those at bigger prices with the talented Sean Bowen in the plate.

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