2018 Classic Chase Betting Trends and Free Tips

Classic Chase Trends

The Betfred-sponsored Classic Chase is a 3m5f gruelling Grade 3 handicap that is run at Warwick racecourse every season in January and provides punters with another chance to see some potential Aintree Grand National hopefuls on show – Last year the Lucinda Russell-trained One For Arthur won the Classic Chase before going onto land the Grand National at Aintree in April!

Did you know that ALL of the last 12 Classic Chase winners have raced in the last 6 weeks.

We take a look back at recent winners of the Betfred-sponsored Classic Chase and give you the key betting trends, plus our free horse racing tip in the Classic Chase, this year in 2018 set to be run on Saturday 13th January.

Recent Classic Chase Winners

2017 – ONE FOR ARTHUR (14/1)
2016 – RUSSE BLANC (20/1)
2015 – HAWKES POINT (15/2)
2014 – SHOTGUN PADDY (9/1)
2012 – HEY BIG SPENDER (14/1)
2011 – WEST END ROCKER (10/1)
2010 – No Race
2009 – No Race
2008 – D’ARGENT (18/1)
2007 – LADALKO (9/2 fav)
2006 – EUROTREK (6/1)
2005 – BARON WINDRUSH (11/1)
2004 – SOUTHERN STAR (15/2)

Classic Chase Betting Trends and Stats

12/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
11/12 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
9/12 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
9/12 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
9/12 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
8/12 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
8/12 – Officially rated between 129-140
8/12 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
7/12 –  Won by a horse aged 9 or older
7/12 –  Placed in the top 3 in their last race
7/12 – Won by an Irish bred horse
7/12 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
6/12 – Favourites unplaced
6/12 – Had run at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
6/12 – Returned a double-figure price
4/12 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (One For Arthur won both races in 2017)
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 10.5/1


JUICESTORM VERDICT: Don’t forget 12 months this race was given a massive boost as the winner – One For Arthur – wen onto boost the form by winning the Aintree Grand National – so, will we be seeing another Merseyside marathon winner this year? With ALL of the last 12 winners of the Classic Chase having raced in the last 6 weeks then of the 15 runners this is bad news for Sir Mangan and Indian Castle. In fact, if you want to take this trend a step further you’ll notice that 11 of the last 12 winners actually ran within the last 5 weeks – if this is to be repeated, the likes of Missed Approach, Cogry and Crosspark are others that have this to overcome. 9 of the last 12 winners (75%) were aged between 7-9 years-old and also carried 11-1 or less in weight. Of those carrying 11-1 or less we’ve actually only four runners – Krackatoa King, Indian Castle & Russe Blanc. We’ve already ruled out Indian Castle based on not running in the last 6 weeks, so the other two have to enter calculations. Kerry Lee’s Russe Blanc is also a proven course and distance winner at the track and is a massive 9lbs lower than when running 9th in this 12 months ago. However, with just one win from his last 15 races and at the age of 11 he’s got a bit to prove. The 10 year-old KRACKATOA KING (e/w) is more interesting though and also hails from the Kerry Lee yard. This consistent sort is another course winner and from his 12 chase starts has only been out of the first three twice. He’s up just 2lbs for a recent close second at Wincanton, but seems to relish soft/heavy conditions and is well worth a crack up in trip. The promising Richard Patrick, who rode him last time, also takes off a handy 5lbs. Emperor’s Choice is another that loves these extreme trips and despite falling last time in the Welsh National that came early on and is clearly none the worse for that. Before that tumble he won well at Haydock and is only 7lbs higher here – but this will be his third race in the last three Saturdays. Missed Approach and Sir Mangan will figure well in the betting but with small lay-offs to overcome and a lot of weight each then don’t look great value. So, the other horse that catches the eye is the Evan Williams-trained ON THE ROAD (e/w). This 8 year-old unseated at the 4th fence in the Welsh National last time so it was too early to tell what he’d have done that day. However, from his six chase starts he’s been in the top two in them all barring that unseat last time and with just 11-3 gets in with one of the lower weights. Yes, the step up in trip is an unknown, but what we do know is that he handles the ground. At 8 years-old he’s the same age as last year’s winner and that also means there should be more to come. Jockey Adam Wedge is also back in the saddle (didn’t ride last time) and so far his recent stats on the horse read an impressive 1-1-1-2.