2018 Betdaq Chase Trends and Free Tips

Betdaq Chase Trends and Free Tips

The Betdaq Chase was first run back in 1988 and was staged as the Racing Post Chase until 2011 and then the Racing Plus Chase in 2012 & 2013. Leading bookmaker – BetBright – took over the sponsorship from 2014 till 2017, but in 2018 we’ve another new backer of the race with Racing UK taking over.

This Grade Three handicap is run over a distance of 3m at Kempton Park racecourse the contest is often described as another Grand National trial, with two horses – Rhyme ‘n’ Reason and Rough Quest – landing both races in the same season, while it could pay to know that both those horses also contested the Cheltenham Gold Cup that season.

 

Here at JUICESTORM we take a look back at recent winners of the Betdaq Chase and gives you the key stats to look out for ahead of the 2018 renewal – this year run on Saturday February 24th.

 

Recent Betdaq Chase Winners

2017 – PILGRIMS BAY (25/1)
2016 – THEATRE GUIDE (6/1)
2015 – ROCKY CREEK (8/1)
2014 – BALLY LEGEND (28/1)
2013 – OPENING BATSMAN (12/1)
2012 – NACARAT (9/2)
2011 – QUINZ (8/1)
2010 – RAZOR ROYALE (11/1)
2009 – NACARAT (10/1)
2008 – GUNGADU (4/1 fav)
2007 – SIMON (11/2)
2006 – INNOX (8/1)
2005 – FARMER JACK (5/1)
2004 – MARLBOROUGH (8/1)
2003 – LA LANDIERE (5/1 jfav)

Key Betdaq Chase Betting Trends

13/15 – Rated 139 or higher
13/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
12/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/15 – Aged 9 or younger
11/15 – Won a class 2 chase or better before
10/15 – Carried 10-13 or more
10/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/15 – Rated between 139 and 150
7/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Carried 11-5 or more
5/15 – Aged 8 years-old
5/15 – French bred
4/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
4/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)
2/15 – Trained by Tom George
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/15 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
2/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 10/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park

JUICESTORM VERDICT: Another decent renewal of this Grade Three Handicap. We can expect the front-running Loose Chips to take them along at a fair lick, but at 12 years-old now he’s sure to get found out by some younger legs. 10 of the last 15 winners carried 10-13 or more so this race generally goes to one at the higher end of the handicap. With 12 of the last 15 aged 9 or younger then this is the age bracket to look for, while 13 of the last 15 finished in the top 5 last time out. Theatre Guide took this in 2016, but at 11 now he’s another that’s likely to have a younger horse improve past him. Surprisingly Nicky Henderson has only won this race once before (2004), but in Gold Present he looks to have a lively chance of improving that record. This improving 8 year-old has won his last two in decent fashion and looks set to be another staying chaser from the Seven Barrows yard to make a name for himself. He is, however, up another 8lbs here so will require to kick-on again, but at 8 years-old there is every chance he’ll do just that. He’s a big danger and the yard boasts a decent 31% strike-rate with their chasers at the track – it won’t be easy lumping round 11-12, but he’s one for the shortlist. The consistent Master Dee fits a lot of the main trends and rarely runs a bad race, but recently he’s a horse that’s been finding a few too good off this mark and that might just be the case again here. The Paul Nicholls yard won this in 2008 and 2015 so anything they run should be respected. As De Mee is one of theirs to note, but ART MAURESQUE (e/w) just edges it for me. This 8 year-old was only beaten 8 lengths behind Waiting Patiently last time here and as we all know that form has been more than franked since. He’s a proven course winner here and, yes, he’s still to shine over this longer trip, but he’s only tried it once and fell at the first! He looks fair value of those at the bigger prices. I also like ACTING LASS and was very impressed with the way he won at Ascot last time out. Up just 6lbs for that win looks fair, while that was his third victory on the spin. Okay, he’s only had 7 career runs and just 3 over fences, but he’s done little wrong so far and could be even better now upped to 3m. He’s impressed with his jumping too and with Noel Fehily booked to ride he’ll have every assistance from the saddle.

 

Comments