2017 Stewards’ Cup Betting Trends and Free Tips

Goodwood racing tips

The 2017 renewal of the Qatar Stewards’ Cup will take place on Saturday 5th August. Run over 6f the handicap contest has just over £60,000 on offer to the winner and is staged on the final day of the 5-day Glorious Goodwood meeting.

We take a look back at recent winners and highlights some key trends to look out for ahead of the 2017 renewal – these will hopefully help you narrow down the final runners and help pin-point the horses that best fit the profile of past winners.

Stewards’ Cup Recent Winners

2016 – Dancing Star (9/2 fav)
2015 –  Magical Memory (6/1 fav)
2014 – Intrinsic (6/1)
2013 – Rex Imperator (12/1)
2012 – Hawkeyethenoo (9/1)
2011 –  Hoof It (13/2 jfav)
2010 –  Evens and Odds (20/1)
2009 –  Genki (14/1)
2008 –  Conquest (40/1)
2007 –  Zidane  (6/1 fav)
2006  – Borderlescott (10/1)
2005 –  Gift Horse (9/2)
2004 –  Pivotal Point (7/1 cfav)
2003 –  Patavellian (4/1)
2002 –  Bond Boy (14/1)

Stewards’ Cup 15 Year Betting Trends

15/15 – Aged 6 or younger
15/15 – Had won over 6f before
14/15 – Had at least 3 previous career wins to their name
13/15 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
13/15 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
11/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/15 – Placed favourites (top 4)
10/15 – Raced at either Ascot, York or Newmarket last time out
9/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/15 – Raced at Goodwood before
5/15 – Favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Winning 3 year-olds (Magical Memory, 2015, Dancing Star, 2016)
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 11/1
7 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
7 of the last 10 top 2 finishers came from a double-figure stall
Since 1978 all bar one winner has been aged 6 or younger

 

With ALL of the last 14 winners aged 6 or younger and having also won before over 6f then this is a good place to start ahead of this ultra-competitive handicap. With these two monster trends applied to the race then the 28 runners now become 19, with nine knocked out. 13 of the last 14 winners had also raced at least 3 times that season, while 10 of the last 14 (71%) were aged 4 or 5 years-old. The trainers with the best recent records are the William Haggas and Roger Charlton camps – between them they’ve won the race 4 times in the last 14 years. Charlton runs Projection, who is sure to be popular after a fine third last time out in the Wokingham. But with just two runs this season and 9-6 to carry this 4 year-old does have a few key trends against him, while, in a race of this nature, doesn’t look the best value. William Haggas has the 4 year-old Raucous entered and is another that punters are bound to latch onto after a decent fourth last time out at Newbury in a Group Three. This drop back into handicap company is an obvious plus, as is Jim Crowley in the saddle and is certainly one for the shortlist. Danzeno is the highest-rated in the field and comes here in cracking order after winning a competitive handicap at Ascot. He was also a close fifth in the Wokingham, but does have to shoulder a 6lb penalty for that recent win which makes life a lot harder. However, the last two winners of this race have been 3 year-olds and it could be more of the same this year. The 101-rated SIR DANCEALOT (E/W) gets in here with only 8-12 to carry so is receiving a massive 13lbs off the top-weight Danzeno and also has Ryan Moore booked to ride. This 3 year-old was a fine second last time out at Newmarket over 7f so we know he stays further and as long as the ground dries out then he looks to have a great chance on these terms. Brian The Snail is the only other 3 year-old in the race and would be very interesting on old form, but has rather lost his way since. Maybe the first-time blinkers will spark him back into life – if they do he could be dangerous. Of the rest, the David O’Meara-trained AL QAHWA (E/W) ticks a lot of the main trends and was a fast-finishing second at York last time out. He gets in here off the same mark and won’t mind it if the ground remains on the soft side, while of those at bigger prices the Paul Cole-trained 5 year-old UPSTAGING (E/W) is another that seems to have a lot of key trends on his side. He was a good winner at Windsor last time out and despite being 6lbs higher her most of that is offset with David Egan’s 5lb claim.

 

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