2017 Racing Post Trophy Betting Trends and Tips

Racing Post Trophy Betting Tips

The Racing Post Trophy is staged each year at Doncaster racecourse and is for 2 year-olds only.

The Group One race is run over a distance of 1m and is an excellent guide and trial to the following year’s Classics, in particular the 2,000 Guineas and Epsom Derby – backed up in recent years with High Chaparral, Motivator, Authorized and, most-recently, Camelot all winning the Racing Post Trophy before going onto take the Epsom Derby the following season.

While jockey Andrea Atzeni has been having a cracking time in the race in recent years – winning it for the last 4 seasons!

We take a look back at recent winners and highlights the key stats ahead of the 2017 renewal – this year run on Saturday 28th October.

Recent Racing Post Trophy Winners

2016 – Rivet (11/4)
2015 – Marcel (33/1)
2014 – Elm Park (13/8 fav)
2013 – Kingston Hill (7/2 fav)
2012 – Kingsbarns (15/8 fav)
2011 – Camelot (10/11 fav)
2010 – Casamento (2/1 fav)
2009 – St Nicholas Abbey (13/8 fav)
2008 – Crowded House (7/1)
2007 – Ibn Khaldun (11/4 fav)
2006 – Authorized (25/1)
2005 – Palace Episode (20/1)
2004 – Motivator (6/4 fav)
2003 – American Post (5/6 fav)
2002 – Brian Boru (11/8 fav)

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Newbury

 

Racing Post Trophy Betting Trends

15/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
13/15 – Foaled in February or later
13/15 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
13/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/15 – Raced with the last month
10/15 – Winning favourites
10/15 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/15 – Had raced at least twice previously
10/15 – Won their last race
9/15 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (6) last time out
5/15 – Won by an Irish-based yard
4/15 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/15 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
3/15 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/15 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
1/15 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 7 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011 & 2012
The average SP in the last 15 runnings is 7/1

JUICESTORM VERDICT: With jockey Andrea Atzeni having made this race his own in recent years then his mount – Chilean – is sure to be popular as the Italian pilot looks for his fifth straight win in this end-of-season Group One. He’s a bit to find on the ratings, but has done nothing wrong by winning his last two and was very impressive last time when landing a Listed race at Haydock by an easy 3 ½ lengths. That came on heavy ground so if there is any more rain and conditions got really soft then his price is sure to contract – regardless, he’s still one for the shortlist. John Gosden’s Roaring Lion heads here having won all three of his starts, including the Group Two Royal Lodge last time out, so certainly commands plenty of respect, but with trainer Aidan O’Brien having the second that day (Nelson) then you feel the Ballydoyle handler will know where he stands with that one. O’Brien has got four of the 12 entries as he looks to land a record-breaking 26th Group One of the season, with The Pentagon and Saxon Warrior looking his main hopes. Both head here off the back of decent Group Two victories and look to have big futures. The Pentagon has not been out for 93 days, but there is a strong chance he’s improved a lot over those 3 months, while Saxon Warrior won by an easy 2 ½ lengths at Naas last month. If pushed, the last-named looks like being O’Brien’s main hope. However, fellow Irish trainer – Jim Bolger – could spoil the Ballydoyle party with his classy VERBAL DEXTERITY. This 2 year-old is the clear top-rated in the field on 117 and after his 3 ½ length romp in the National Stakes is also a proven Group One winner. Yes, this will be the furthest he’s raced so far with that last win being over 7f, but he certainly wasn’t stopping last time to suggest this extra yardage is worth a try. Surprisingly, Bolger is yet to win this race, but he’s no stranger in bringing his good ones over to England and although everyone wants O’Brien to break the Group One record his horses might be a tad under-priced based on this.

 

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