2017 Irish Derby Betting Trends and Tips

Irish Derby Betting Tips

The Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby is a Group One contest run over 1m4f at the Curragh racecourse.

In recent years the race has been dominated by one trainer – Aidan O’Brien, who has landed the lucrative pot a staggering 10 times since 2001, including 8 of the last 11 renewals, and you can expect the Ballydoyle handler to be mob-handed once again.

We take a look back at past winners, plus give you all the key stats ahead of the 2017 renewal, this year run on Saturday 1st July.

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 – CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR  (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

14/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
12/14 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/14 – Won a Group race before
12/14 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/14 – Failed to win their last race
10/14 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
10/14 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
8/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 11 times in all)
7/14 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (3 winners, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
4/14 – Previous Group 1 winners
2/14 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 4/1

 

JUICESTORM VERDICT: Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the Irish Derby a staggering 11 times, including 8 of the last 14, and in WINGS OF EAGLES he’s got another big chance of adding to that tally. We get a chance to see if this year’s shock Derby winner is really as good as that Epsom win, while with O’Brien also having four others in the race then in total the Ballydoyle handler has 5 of the 9 runners. Of his others, Capri and Douglas Macarthur, who were 6th and 7th in the Derby, look next best, but really if Wings Of Eagles reproduces that Epsom Derby win then there is no real reason to oppose him. Cracksman, who was third that day tries again and with around a length between them then many will feel the Gosden horse can reverse that form. I’m not so sure he can though. For me Wings Of Eagles looked to be running away at the finish that day and with the expected improvement then there should be more to come. He’s only tried this 1m4f trip twice and has so far been second in the Chester Vase and won the Derby – that’s not bad going! That Derby form was also given a few boosts at Royal Ascot last week with the 10th – Permain – winning the King Edward VII Stakes. Yes, this will be Wings Of Eagles’ first run at the Curragh, but there is no reason to think it won’t suit, while ground conditions look fine too. Along with Cracksmen, his biggest danger might come from the French raider – Waldgeist – who makes the long trip over. He’s officially rated just 3 pound behind the selection, but heads here off the back of a short-head second in the French Derby – which goes without saying is top-notch form. The Andre Fabre team clearly think a lot of him, but if there is a negative it would be the trip as the furthest he’s gone to date is 1m2 1/2f. With that in mind I’d rather be sticking with the proven performer over this trip and hopefully Wings Of Eagles can follow in the hoof-prints of the likes of Harzand, Australia and Camelot – who have all done the Epsom/Irish Derby double in recent years.

OddsMonkey
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