2017 Greatwood Hurdle Betting Trends & Tips

Greatwood Hurdle Trends and Tips

The Greatwood Hurdle, this year, will at the Cheltenham November Meeting and is being sponsored by leading bookmaker Unibet for the first time.

Run over 2m ½ f on the Old Course the contest gives National Hunt racing fans some early season pointers ahead of the Champion Hurdle, run at Cheltenham at the Festival in March – Rooster Booster (2002) was the last horse to win this race and go onto land that same season’s Champion Hurdle.

Since 1988 the race has been won four times by the Pipe stable, three times by Philip Hobbs and three times, including in 2015, by ex-champion trainer Paul Nicholls.

Here at JUICESTORM we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2017 renewal…..this year run on Sunday 19th November.

Recent Greatwood Hurdle Winners

2016 – NORTH HILL HARVEY (6/1)
2015 – OLD GUARD (12/1)
2014 – GARDE LA VICTOIRE (10/1)
2013 – DELL ‘ARCA (12/1)
2012 – OLOFI (8/1)
2011 – BRAMPOUR (12/1)
2010 – MENORAH (6/1)
2009 – KHYBER KIM (9/1)
2008 – NUMIDE (5/1)
2007 – SIZING EUROPE (5/1)
2006 – DETROIT CITY (6/5 fav)
2005 – LINGO (5/1)
2004 – ACCORDION ETOILE (100/30 fav)
2003 – RIGMAROLE (33/1)
2002 – ROOSTER BOOSTER (7/1)

Greatwood Hurdle Betting Trends and Stats

14/15 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
13/15 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Officially rated 140 or higher
10/15 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
10/15 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
10/15 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
9/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
8/15 – Carried 11-4 or more
7/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Came from the first three in the betting
6/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/15 – Won their previous race
4/15 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Winning favourites
1/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
5 of the last 8 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

 

JUICESTORM VERDICT: The New One being in the race and carrying 11-12 in this handicap means all of the others carry just 11-0 or less, with some decent horses right at the foot of the weights and racing of featherweights. Richard Johnson will ride THE NEW ONE (e/w) with Sam Twiston-Davies on the sidelines, but the champion jockey has won on this classy hurdler before and also has a decent record riding winners in this race. Yes, it won’t be easy giving upwards of 12lbs away to the rest, but this 163-rated hurdler is often seen in much better races and of those at the bigger prices looks decent value. However, it’s a race that has seen 12 of the last 15 winners aged 4 or 5 years-old so this age group look the ones to focus on. The Nicky Henderson-trained Jenkins has been all the rage in the week and has some high-class form to his name already. With just 10-0 he could be thrown-in at the weights and be a horse that is much better than this, but unless you are on at bigger prices in the week the value looks to have gone. Paul Nicholls took this in 2015 with Old Guard and he tries to regain his title again here off just a 4lb higher mark with the talented Bryony Frost in the saddle. He could go well at a fair price and heads here in fine fettle after a good win at Kempton last time out. London Prize is another to note and won well last weekend at Wincanton. He stays well so the stiff finish will suit and looks sure to be in the mix. Misterton, Elgin and Chesterfield are others to note, but the call here is MOHAAYED. This 5 year-old hails from the in-form Dan Skelton team and with just 10-0 to carry will feel like he’s on holiday here. He was a good winner last time at Market Rasen and despite that being back in May the reports are that’s he’s fit and raring to go ahead of this. He was a solid 7th, only beaten 3 ½ lengths in the County Hurdle here back in March so the track is fine, while at 5 years-old he fits the key age trend. Add in that the yard took this 12 months ago too then they certainly know what’s required

 

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