2017 Glorious Goodwood: TRAINER WATCH

Glorious Goodwood Top Trainers

As we gear-up for the popular five-day Glorious Goodwood Festival (1st-5th Aug 2017) there is plenty to look forward to, but who are best trainers to follow?

We take a look at the top yards and their records at Goodwood over the last 5 years, plus highlight the certainly age ranges of horses that these stables tend to do well with.

Trainers to note…………………

FRANCOIS ROHAUT (2 from 3, Overall 67%): Yes, this French yard are likely to only have a few runners at the meeting but anything they do send over should certainly command respect. In recent years they’ve sent out 2 winners from just 3 sent to post and with those successes returning a decent +£44 level stakes profit then punters have been well ahead.

AIDAN O’BRIEN (6 from 21, Overall 29%): We can expect the powerful Ballydoyle camp to send over their usual strong team to the meeting with the likes of Churchill (Sussex Stakes) and Winter (Nassau Stakes) a couple of big names set to run. Overall, they’ve a decent 29% strike-rate with their runners at the track, but pay special attention to their juveniles (3 from 5, 60%) and their 3 year-olds (3 from 11, 27%). In contrast, the record of their older horses at the track is currently 0-from-5.

WILLIAM HAGGAS (18 from 77, Overall 23%): Another of the powerful Newmarket-based yards that have rewarded punters here in recent years. They are 2 from 12 (17%) with their juveniles so a small word of caution in this area, but at 23% (11 from 47) with their 3 year-olds and an even-better 28% (5 from 18) with their 4+ year-olds then their older horses are certainly the angle into the Haggas runners at Goodwood with these also yielding a decent +£20 level stakes profit.

SIR MICHAEL STOUTE (22 from 107, Overall 21%): Another big yard that will have plenty of ammunition over the five days and with a decent overall 21% record at the track then they are sure to have a winner or three! That said, it’s probably best to avoid any 2 year-olds as they are just 1 from 10, while their 4+ year-olds are surprisingly only 4 from 28 (14%). But it’s their 3 year-olds that they do best with. They are currently 17 from 69 (25%) in this age group so it might pay to focus your attention with the Stoute runners on their 3 year-olds.

CHARLIE APPLEBY (16 from 82, Overall 20%): Godolphin handler Charlie Appleby is having a top season and it’s very unlikely they will leave the Glorious Goodwood meeting empty-handed. They’ve a solid 20% overall record with their runners at the track, but it’s their 2 year-olds we should be concentrating on. They’ve an improved 26% (8 from 31) record with their juveniles here in recent years, which is in contrast to their 17% and 14% records they’ve got with their 3 year-olds and 4+ year-olds.

JOHN GOSDEN (20 from 104, Overall 19%): A meeting the Gosden camp will rarely leave without having a few winners at and with a steady 19% record from their last 104 runners then at around a 1 in 5 strike-rate that’s not to be sniffed at. This strike-rate falls down a bit with their 4+ year-olds to 16%, but do note any 2 year-olds they run over the five days as they are currently 5 from their last 20 (25%) in this sphere.

JOHN GALLAGHER (5 from 26, Overall 19%): Based in Oxon the John Gallagher team might not be a well-known yard but they are certainly one to have on your radar. Why? They boast an impressive overall 19% record at the track, but with 2 winners from their 3 juveniles sent to post at the track then this 67% strike-rate is not to be sniffed at.

HENRY CANDY (11 from 62, Overall 18%): Another top yard that has an overall solid record at the track, but really it’s their 2 year-olds we are more interested in. They are currently 4 from 11 (36%) with their youngsters at the course with a +£10 level stakes profit in that age range too.

ROGER CHARLTON (11 from 68, Overall 16%): Another shrewd yard that often pop up with a winner here at the track, but pay closer attention to their 3 year-olds. They are sitting on a decent 7 from 35 (20%) with this age of runner at the track, which has also boasted a +£17 level stakes profit.

JEREMY NOSEDA (5 from 31, Overall 16%): A shrewd yard that can often get one ready for a touch for one of the big handicaps. A steady 16% record overall at the track, but that increases massively to a decent 29% (4 from 29) if we just focus on their 4+ year-olds, while this age group also yields an impressive +£29 level stakes profit.

MARK JOHNSTON (35 from 253, Overall 14%): A yard that will have bundles of runners over the week so it can often be hard to determine which horses to focus on with sometimes 2 or 3 in the same race. They are pretty consistent across all the age groups so there isn’t a particular range to avoid, but with an overall +£50 level stakes profit then what we can take from this is that it might pay to not be afraid of their bigger-priced runners.

ROGER VARIAN (8 from 64, Overall 13%): Yes, not the most inspiring overall record at the track, but if you delve deeper into their age range stats you’ll see that they are actually 3 from 7 (43%) with their 2 year-olds here. In contrast, they are just 1 from 28 (4%) with their 3 year-olds and 4 from 29 with their older horses, but any youngsters they run are certainly worth giving a second glance to.

SAEED BIN SUROOR (7 from 75, Overall 9%): The longer serving of the two main Godolphin yards but in recent years the Bin Suroor yard do have a patchy overall record at the track. It’s surprising to see they are currently 0 from 23 with their 3 year-olds here and just 3 from 38 (8%) with their older horses, but all is not lost with the Bin Suroor stats as they are a much-better 4 from 14 (29%) with their juveniles here – with that in mind pay closer attention to their 2 year-olds.

 


Trainers you might want to avoid…………………………..

 

ANDREW BALDING (12 from 131, 9% Overall): As well as looking at the stables with decent strike-rates there are a few bigger names that don’t actually have the best of records here. Andrew Balding has sent out just 12 winners from his last 136 sent to post at Goodwood so backers of his horses should be slightly concerned, especially with his older horses of which he’s just 4 from 55 (7%).

CHARLES HILLS (8 from 106, Overall 8%): In recent years, the Charles Hills yard have had plenty of runners at Goodwood (106), but with just 8 successes then punters have been left with a -£64 level stakes profit on their runners. That strike-rate goes down to an even worse 7% with their 2 year-olds and just 5% (1 from 21) with their older horses at the course.

RICHARD FAHEY (9 from 137, Overall 7%): One of the main Northern yards, but with only 9 winners from their last 137 runners at the track (7%) then a big note of caution is advised when looking at the Fahey runners. Yes, their stable star Ribchester will be all the rage in the Sussex Stakes and will look to slightly improve those poor track stats, but with only 6% and 3% record with their 2 year-olds and 4+ year-olds then this is a worry. If there is anything to take from the Fahey stats then it’s their 3 year-olds as they are actually a much-better 5 from 30 (17%) with this age range.

KEVIN RYAN (2 from 38, Overall 5%): Another of the bigger yards based in the north here, but the Kevin Ryan camp don’t have the best of records here at Goodwood. With only 2 winners from their last 38 (5%) then that’s a pretty dire record. If there is, however, anything to take out of their stats is that both of those winners came with 3 year-olds!

DAVID O’MEARA (1 from 28, Overall 4%): Often mob-handed at the big festivals but their raids south to Goodwood have not been as successful. Yes, they’ve only sent 28 runners down here in the last 5 years but with just a single winner then a word of caution is advised.

OddsMonkey
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