2017 Coral-Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends and Tips

Sandown horse racing tips

Run over 1m2f at Sandown Park racecourse in early July the Coral-Eclipse Stakes is open to horses aged 3 or older and with 13 of the last 15 winners having already landed a Group One contest in their careers then it often attracts some of the best horses from around the world.

In recent years, we’ve seen 2 of the last 8 Epsom Derby winners from that season go onto land the Coral-Eclipse, while favourites have a decent record – winning 7 of the last 15 and being placed in 12 of the last 15.

We take a look back at recent winners, and highlight the key stats to be looking out for ahead of the 2017 renewal – this year run on Saturday 8th July.

Coral-Eclipse Stakes Past Winners

2016 – Hawkbill (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (4/9 fav)
2014 – Mukhadram (14/1)
2013 – Al Kazeem (15/8 fav)
2012 – Nathaniel (7/2)
2011 – So You Think (4/11 fav)
2010 –  Twice Over (13/8 fav)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/7 fav)
2008 – Mount Nelson (7/2)
2007 – Notnowcato (7/1)
2006 –David Junior (9/4)
2005 –Oratorio (12/1)
2004 –Refuse To Bend (15/2)
2003 –Falbrav (8/1)
2002 – Hawk Wing (8/15 fav)

Coral-Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

15/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
13/15 – Won by a previous Group One winner
13/15 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
12/15 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
10/15 – Placed in their last race
7/15 – Favourites that won
5/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
4/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/15 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4 of the last 10 winners won last time out
2 of the last 8 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 9/2

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994 & 1993
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995 & 2016
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 5 runnings

 

JUICESTORM VERDICT: The Epsom Derby form got a significant boost last weekend in the Irish Derby with the winner – Wings Of Eagles – the third – Cracksman – and the sixth – Capri – all separated by a neck and a short-head in that Curragh contest. Therefore, based on that the Derby second – Cliff of Moher sets a decent standard. Yes, this is a drop back to 1m2f but the stiff Sandown finish should bring out his stamina and with just four career runs to date then there should be a lot more to come from this Aidan O’Brien-trained 3 year-old. The yard has won this Group One five times and having dominated most of the big races again this season and there is every chance they will do so again here. Being a 3 year-old then he’ll also receive 7lbs or 10lbs from the older horses and the last two runnings have also gone to a horse aged 3. Those against him though will have options, while with 13 of the last 15 winners previous Group One winners then he does fall down in this having only won at Listed level to date. The Derby fourth Eminent is certainly a big player after not getting the best of runs at Epsom last time and you feel this drop back to 1m2f will also suit better. He’s another 3 year-old in the race so will also get the weight off the older horses. However, for us, Barney Roy is the most runner against the likely favourite after his recent St James’s Palace Stakes win at Royal Ascot. This Godolphin-owned horse will be flying the flag of the boys in blue as they look to follow up their win in the race last year with Hawksbill, while in total Godolphin has won the race five times. The big question surrounding BARNEY ROY will be the trip as he’s yet to race beyond a mile. That said, he seemed to need every yard of it last time at Ascot over a mile and certainly wasn’t stopping at the end. Ascot is a stiff track so the signs are positive that he’ll stay, while it’s no secret the Hannon camp think an awful lot of this 3 year-old, so it might just be worth taking a chance on him getting the extra yardage, plus he’s one of just a handful of proven Group One winners in the field. He’s won three of his four starts, with his only defeat (2nd) coming in the 2,000 Guineas behind Churchill, in a race he didn’t get the best of runs. His breeding (Galileo) suggests that this 1m2f should be within range and if so that’s coupled with his proven speed over a mile it could prove to be a deadly combination. Of the rest, the Stoute camp are another yard that have a cracking record in the race (5 wins) and their Ulysses is certainly no back-number after a decent third in the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes over this trip last time. His form over 1m2f reads well too – 2-1-2-1-3 – so there does look to be some value in his price, plus he’s also a proven course and distance winner here at the Esher track – but, being a 4 year-old, he does have to give 10lbs to the 3 year-olds, which won’t be easy! Finally, with the Roger Charlton yard are going great guns of late so their Decorated Hero, who finished just ahead of Ulysses at Ascot, is the last one to note. Yes, this 5 year-old is another that has to give weight away to the younger horses, but being a two-time Group One winner already this year makes him a big player, while his form when running over 1m2f or further reads an impressive 2-1-1-1-2!

OddsMonkey
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