Sunday 11th October 2020
England v Belgium 17:00
- FIFA World Rankings, England 4, Belgium 1
- Met 22 times, Belgium 3, Draw 4, England 15
- Last met (2018, World Cup), Belgium 2-0 England
- Belgium have won the last 2 head-to-heads ‘to nil’
- 5 of the last 6 head-to-heads went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
- Both teams ‘DIDN’T’ score in 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads
- England have never lost at home to Belgium (6 games)
- Belgium are 13 games unbeaten
- 6 of Belgium’s last 9 games went OVER 2.5 GOALS
- Belgium have scored 2+ goals in 14 of their last 15 games
- England have lost just 1 of their last 10 games
- England have kept a clean sheet in their last 6 games
- 13 of England’s last 16 games went OVER 2.5 GOALS
England and Belgium, who are in the Nations League Group A2 face-off at Wembley on Sunday in what looks set to be a crucial match in this mini league of four sides.
After two games each, Belgium are sitting top on maximum points, while England are just 2 points back after a win and a draw from their opening two games.
The sides head here after midweek games too – England saw off Wales easily in a 3-0 home win, while Belgium were held at home 1-1 by the Ivory Coast.
It’s also a clash that sees the FIFA top-ranked side – Belgium – taking on the fourth best side in the world – England – so there should be a lot of quality on show.
England boss, Gareth Southgate played a much changed side against Wales in the week – giving caps to a lot of new and younger players, but here in this harder and more important game we can expect to see the likes of Harry Kane, Rice, Pickford, Rashford and Alexander-Arnold back.
It’s a very tight betting market when looking at the match betting too, with England on offer at 2.75, the draw 3.30 and Belgium just shading it at 2.50.
The sides last met in the 2018 World Cup, when Belgium beat England 2-0 in the third/fourth play-off game and had also beaten them 1-0 earlier on in that same tournament.
However, the overall head-to-head figures favour England – the sides have met 22 times, with England winning 15, with 4 draws and Belgium having only 3 wins against England and two of those came in their last two clashes.
During midweek, England’s scorers were Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Danny Ings and Conor Coady, but it will be best to check the team news in the build-up to the game to see if they will be involved again. I suspect, Calvert-Lewin will be involved at some point though as it’s clear Southgate is taking a liking to the Everton man – he’s on offer at 7.00 (1st) or 3.00 (anytime). Other England players that are prominent at the head of the scoring markets are, of course, Harry Kane at 5.00 (1st) or 2.25 (anytime), while Rashford is 8.00 (1st) or 3.25 (anytime).
Looking at the main Belgium players, Palace man – Batshuayi – was on target for his country in midweek so the 7.00 (1st) or 3.00 (anytime) might appeal, while Lukaku at 5.00 (1st) or 2.25 (anytime), Hazard 7.50 (1st) or 3.10 (anytime) and De Bruyne 9.00 (1st) or 3.60 (anytime) are other big names to note.
Other head-to-head stats to look at are that England have NEVER lost a home game to Belgium (7 matches), while the Three Lions also head into the game having kept clean sheets in ALL of their last 6 games!
Both teams DIDN’T score in 4 of the last 5 meetings, so this might appeal at 2.00, while 13 of England’s last 16 games (81%) have seen OVER 2.5 GOALS – this can be backed at 2.00.
It’s worth noting though that 5 of the last 6 head-to-heads between these sides went UNDER 2.5 GOALS– this is on offer at 1.80.
Both sides are also heading into the game on decent runs. Belgium are currently 13 games without a loss, with England coming here having lost just 1 of their last 10.
In summary, it’s set to be a fascinating game that could on paper be very tight and it will be the side that takes their limited chances the best that could come out on top.
Both teams seem to have a lot more depth in their squads now and after the midweek win over Wales, the England boss – Gareth Southgate – will have a lot of new and fresh options open to him.
The draw at 3.30 would be the obvious call in what could be a very cagey game – and even if either side goes a goal down – they’ve both got enough firepower to get back in the game.
However, despite England scoring three last Thursday, I think the safer call here is to side with UNDER 2.5 GOALS here at 1.80. This bet has paid out the last twice these sides have met and in 5 of their last 6 head-to-heads – that’s a strike-rate of 83%.
JUICESTORM VERDICT: UNDER 2.5 GOALS @1.80
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