Championship Betfair Trading Focus: Play-Off Final Tuesday 4th Aug 2020

• Author
• Recent Posts

Andy

After several years at JuiceStorm.com the time has come for me to move on to pastures new.

It was great to engage with so many of you over the years. Automation - John's favourite - has stepped in to help out.

In my place we now have Steamers & Drifters Today, Football Tips, Hot Jockeys And Trainers, Horse Racing News and Daily Horse Racing Tips.

All are updated daily and available directly at the top of every page under News or Sport.

Latest posts by Andy (see all)

• Saturday Horse Racing Trends and Free Tips: 1st Oct 2022 - September 30, 2022
• 2022 Ayr Gold Cup Betting Trends & Free Tips - September 11, 2022
• Saturday TV Trends and Tips: 17th Sept 22 - September 11, 2022

Tuesday 4th August 2020

Championship Play-Off Final Wembley

Tuesday 4th August

Brentford v Fulham 19.45pm

The “largest game in football” with the ultimate prize, a place in the Premier League. With that in mind, it is easy to see why six of the last eight finals have been Under 2.5 goals, the other two both ended 2-1. Only two of those eight finals saw both teams score, and no side managed to come from behind. On that evidence, of recent years, the first goal is crucial, so expect a bit of “cat and mouse” early on. Brentford have had the best of recent head to head games, there have been ten meetings today in the Championship, and they have won six and drawn three. In six of those ten games, both teams scored and five were Under and five were Over. Those games suggest goals, but none of those games were anywhere near as big as this final.

The Under 2.5 goals price is 1.66 and that seems about right, but I think it is a little short to trade, so a better bet might be to trade correct scores around 1-0, 0-1 and 0-0 with a view to Betfair Trading for a green book at some point. That strategy would have been successful in five of those eight finals.