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Sunday 5th May 2019
Derby v West Brom
Depending on how Derby’s midweek game against Swansea finishes, this game could have everything or nothing, resting on it. Either way, I wouldn’t want to be taking shortish prices on the home side, particularly if they need to win to get in the play-offs. The pressure would be huge on Frank Lampard’s men even with West Brom probably having very little to play for, however it would be better for West Brom to keep their form going into the play-offs, rather than taking their feet off the pedals and risk becoming sloppy with the possibility of two huge games ahead of them. Derby beat West Brom in the 2007 play-off final when the Baggies were favourites to go up and this may be the chance for a bit of revenge. Lay the home side with a view to trading for a green book.
Rotherham v Middlesbrough
Rotherham are down and Middlesbrough need to win and hope that Derby slip up. There is no reason to think that Rotherham are suddenly going to become world beaters, however with their fate assured, they maty relax and that often brings about an improved performance. The two drew 0-0 at the Riverside earlier in the season, but Rotherham won this fixture 1-0 last season. Middlesbrough need to go for goals as that could be a deciding factor for the last play-off place, but they are not a free scoring side usually. For small stakes try correct score trades 2-2 and 1-3.
Stoke v Sheff Utd
A big travelling support will push Sheff Utd forward as they look to topple Norwich from the top by winning with goals, providing Aston Villa can also do them a favour. Stoke have won only one in ten, Sheff Utd just lost one in seventeen. I fancy Sheff Utd to win at 2.00 and also a small stake on Sheff Utd to win and Over 2.5 goals at 3.20.
Note: Odds are subject to change.
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