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Saturday 18th July 2020
Stoke v Brentford
A lot might depend on what happens on Friday night where West Brom travel to Huddersfield. Whatever the result Brentford need to keep the pressure on, however Stoke will think a point will make them safe and they have won two and drawn one of their last four. Three recent head to head ended level and with Brentford on a winning run of eight they will not want that to continue. As well as they are playing, this is tough and 1.70 about them winning is not for me. Stoke can give them a game and the 1.80 about both teams scoring appeals as better value.
Middlesbrough v Cardiff
A draw would be fine for the home side, but Cardiff must go for the win and with the last three head to head all ending in 1-0 wins, this has the makings of a tight game. Cardiff are not in great form having lost two of their last three and even the win was gifted to them by Derby mistakes. Boro may be safe and a point would help, they have won three and lost four of their last seven to probably ensure survival. I cannot see either winning, so 0-0 and 1-1 correct scores is the trading angle.
QPR v Millwall
A London derby that Millwall must win to keep alive their play-off chances. They have won three of their last four whilst QPR have lost five in seven. Recent head to head at QPR ended 2-0, 2-2 and 1-1. Four of the last six head to head were under 2.5 goals, but the nature of this game means there might be goals and I will chance Over 2.5 goals at 1.83 as a trading angle.
Swansea v Bristol City
Swansea must win but Bristol City are probably done for the season. Three recent head to head, and Swansea have not won any, all Under 2.5 goals with the game in Swansea ending 0-1. Bristol City are unbeaten in three with Swansea in and out winning two of their last six. Like many games the first goal here will be crucial which means it could be tight. Under 2.5 goals at 1.91 might be a decent trading option.
Sunday 19th July 2020
Derby v Leeds
Leeds would love to win the title at old rivals Derby, and now that the home side have nothing to play for it should be a foregone conclusion. A lot will depend on the first 20 minutes and if Leeds can get on top, they can take the three points. They have lost one in eleven, Derby have lost their last three, but even with those stats, Leeds are short. Two of the last three head to head in Derby ended Over 2.5 goals and that is the trading option here at 1.80.
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