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Friday 10th July 2020
Fulham v Cardiff
There have been nine recent head to head at this level with six ending in score draws. Fulham are probably just about guaranteed a playoff place, but Cardiff need wins so their urgency is a little greater. Cardiff might be worth risking at 4.0 but a better option is to Lay Fulham at 1.95 keeping the draw on side.
Fulham 45% Over 2.5 goals 14% Over 3.5 goals
Cardiff 50% Over 2.5 goals 31% Over 3.5 goals
Since the restart Fulham have won three and lost two. Cardiff have won three drawn one and lost one. Both sides have had two of their five games go Over 2.5 goals.
Huddersfield v Luton
A relegation battle and just one previous meeting to go on, a 2-1 home win for Luton last August. This game has to be tight with so much at stake. It might be worth trading correct scores for this match around 0-0 and 1-1.
Huddersfield 48% Over 2.5 goals 10% Over 3.5 goals
Luton 67% Over 2.5 goals 19% Over 3.5 goals
Since the restart Huddersfield won one drew two and lost two with two games Over 2.5 goals. Luton have won one drawn three and lost one, with just one game Over 2.5 goals.
Saturday 11th July 2020
Blackburn v West Brom
With Leeds continuing in top form, West Brom cannot afford not to go for the win. Blackburn are still pushing for a playoff place and in three recent meetings today there has been one draw and a win each. West Brom are around 1.80 to win away and that is not for me, I prefer the 1.95 for Both Teams To Score, which would have been successful in those three head to head.
Blackburn 52% Over 2.5 goals 29% Over 3.5 goals
West Brom 43% Over 2.5 goals 26% Over 3.5 goals
Since the restart Blackburn have won two and lost three with three of the five games Over. West Brom have won three drawn one and lost one, two of their five games were Over.
Derby v Brentford
A real promotion battle with two in form teams, but Derby looked just a little tired at West Brom and Brentford are finishing the season strongly. The last four head to head have all been Over 2.5 goals and there should be goals again here. Brentford have not won on the last five visits but did manage two draws. On current form they are better than Derby and even at 1.83 they are a bet to continue their excellent run.
Derby 50% Over 2.5 goals 24% Over 3.5 goals
Brentford 50% Over 2.5 goals 29% Over 3.5 goals
Since the restart Derby have won three drawn one and lost one, two of the five games were Over. Brentford have won all five with three Over 2.5 goals.
Preston v Nottm Forest
Another promotion battle and both have been in and out recently. Usually a tight encounter, five of the last seven head to head ended in draws, four of them were 1-1, the other two were wins for Preston. I can see goals here particularly if we get an early one and as a trading option, Over 2.5 goals at 2.20 fits the bill.
Preston 62% Over 2.5 goals 33% Over 3.5 goals
Nottm Forest 38% Over 2.5 goals 19% Over 3.5 goals
Since football resumed, Preston have won one lost two and drawn two with two games Over 2.5 goals. Forest have won two drawn two and lost one. Just one of their five games was Over 2.5 goals.
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