2019 Tingle Creek Chase Free Tips and Trends

Tingle Creek Trends and Tips

Run over 2m the Betfair-sponsored Tingle Creek Chase is staged at Sandown Park racecourse and this year (2017) run on 9th December. The Grade One Chase is always seen as a good guide to the Queen Mother Champion Chase run at the Cheltenham Festival later in the season – with Master Minded (2008), Moscow Flyer (2004), Sprinter Sacre (2012), Sire de Grugy (2013) & Dodging Bullets (2014) the last horses to do the Tingle Creek/Champion Chase double in the same season at the Cheltenham Festival.

Here at JUICESTORM we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key Tingle Creek trends to look out for ahead of the 2019 renewal – this year run on Saturday 7th December.

Recent Tingle Creek Winners

2018 – ALTIOR (8/13 fav)
2017 – POLITOLOGUE (7/2)
2016 – UN DE SCEAUX (5/4 fav)
2015 – SIRE DE GRUGY (10/3)
2014 – DODGING BULLETS (9/1)
2013 – SIRE DE GRUGY (7/4 jfav)
2012 – SPRINTER SACRE (4/11 fav)
2011 – SIZING EUROPE (11/8 fav)
2010 – MASTER MINDED (10/11 fav)
2009 – TWIST MAGIC (9/4)
2008 – MASTER MINDED (4/7 fav)
2007 – TWIST MAGIC (5/1)
2006 – KAUTO STAR (4/9 fav)
2005 – KAUTO STAR (5/2 jfav)
2004 – MOSCOW FLYER (2/1)
2003 – MOSCOW FLYER (6/4 fav)
2002 – CENKOS (6/1)

 

Tingle Creek Chase Trends

16/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Had won a Grade One chase before
14/17 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
13/17 – Officially rated 165 or higher
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
13/17 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
12/17 – French bred
12/17 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/17 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
10/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
9/17 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
6/17 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Altior, Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
3/17 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/17 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 5/2

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

JUICESTORM VERDICT: A cracking renewal of the Grade One Tingle Creek, that includes two past winners of the race. Politologue took this prize in 2017 and with Paul Nicholls having 10 Tingle Creek titles to his name then he’s certainly one for the shortlist. This popular grey returned last month with a solid second to Defi Du Seuil at Cheltenham and the two should be closely-matched again. Politologue can be expected to have come on for that run (Defi had already had an outing), while the Nicholls horse is still rated 3lbs higher than Defi. The Hobbs runner – Defi Du Seuil – still looks set to go off favourite and having won 4 of his 7 runs over fences is a fast-improving 2m chaser. However, despite having a great chance, doesn’t look great value in the betting. You’d expect jockey – Daryl Jacob – to have had the pick between Janika and Sceau Royal and even though it might not have been an easy pick, the fact he’s sided with Sceau Royal has to be respected. This Alan King runner ran third in the Champion Chase at the Festival last March and was only 2 ½ lengths behind Altior in the Celebration Chase here in April. However, he was well-beaten (24 lengths) in this race last year so needs to improve on that – on a plus, he’s got a decent record fresh and has won first time out for the last two seasons. Waiting Patiently also makes his return, with his trainer testing the water in this division with potentially no Altior. They are looking to see if he’s got the pace to cope with the drop in trip but having run poorly the last twice I’d rather be a watcher than a backer. Janika will give the Henderson yard an idea on where they stand should they pitch Altior back in trip – but he’s got a fair chance in his own right too. He beat Dolos last time at Exeter in the Haldon Gold Cup and with 8 top two finishes (4 wins) from his 9 runs over fences then he’s a fast-improving chaser. But the call here is for the 2016 winner – UN DE SCEAUX – to regain his Tingle Creek title. Yes, at 11 years-old he’s not getting any younger but showed back in April that he’s still a force to be reckoned with when beating Min by 4 lengths at Punchestown. Let’s not forget he’s still the clear top-rated in the field (171) and that’s 8lbs higher than Defi. He’s gone well off a break in the past and was also a fair runner-up 12 months ago here – but has no Altior this time. Mullins must be happy with him to send him over and with 18 top two finishes (13 wins) from 21 starts over fences then his record is second-to-none.

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