2018 Tingle Creek Chase Free Tips and Trends

Tingle Creek Trends and Tips

Run over 2m the Betfair-sponsored Tingle Creek Chase is staged at Sandown Park racecourse and this year (2017) run on 9th December. The Grade One Chase is always seen as a good guide to the Queen Mother Champion Chase run at the Cheltenham Festival later in the season – with Master Minded (2008), Moscow Flyer (2004), Sprinter Sacre (2012) and Sire de Grugy (2013) the last horses to do the Tingle Creek/Champion Chase double in the same season at the Cheltenham Festival.

Here at JUICESTORM we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key Tingle Creek trends to look out for ahead of the 2018 renewal – this year run on Saturday 8th December.

Recent Tingle Creek Winners

2017 – POLITOLOGUE (7/2)
2016 – UN DE SCEAUX (5/4 fav)
2015 – SIRE DE GRUGY (10/3)
2014 – DODGING BULLETS (9/1)
2013 – SIRE DE GRUGY (7/4 jfav)
2012 – SPRINTER SACRE (4/11 fav)
2011 – SIZING EUROPE (11/8 fav)
2010 – MASTER MINDED (10/11 fav)
2009 – TWIST MAGIC (9/4)
2008 – MASTER MINDED (4/7 fav)
2007 – TWIST MAGIC (5/1)
2006 – KAUTO STAR (4/9 fav)
2005 – KAUTO STAR (5/2 jfav)
2004 – MOSCOW FLYER (2/1)
2003 – MOSCOW FLYER (6/4 fav)
2002 – CENKOS (6/1)

 

Tingle Creek Chase Trends

15/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Had won a Grade One chase before
13/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
12/16 – Officially rated 165 or higher
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
12/16 – French bred
12/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
9/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
9/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8/16 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
5/16 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
4/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/16 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 5/2

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

 

JUICESTORM VERDICT: Only four runners, which is a bit of a shame, but still a cracking contest that really should be going to the Nicky Henderson-trained ALTIOR. His current Champion Chaser has now won his last 14 races – 5 over hurdles and 9 over fences – and being rated 7lbs higher than his nearest rival – Un De Sceaux. He also rounded-off last season with an easy win over this course and distance when taking the Celebration Chase so it really is hard to fault his chance. Un De Sceaux was the 2016 winner of this race and is still going strong at 10 years-old, but it’s worth noting that since the race was first run in 1979 we’ve only had one winner aged 10 or older. It’s nice to see Ruby back over in the UK to ride him though and that is sure to make him popular and let’s not forget he’s not finished out of the top two now in his last nine starts so is sure to be bang there! The new kids on the block – Sceau Royal and Saint Calvados – add plenty of spice to the contest too and will certainly have their supporters. Both should leave their current ratings of 159 and 158 this season and look very promising challengers to Alitor’s crown. Saint Calavados can be expected to take them along from the front and if getting into a rhythm might just be hard to peg back – he did just that last time out over in Ireland and had last season’s Arkle winner – Footpad – well back when that horse fell in that race too. Sceau Royal will be looking to give trainer Alan King his first win in his race and he’ll be raring to go after a top return win at Cheltenham last month. He’s won 5 of his 6 chase starts and is also a CD winner here at Sandown over fences. He’s a strongly-travelling type that could have the race set up for him with Un De Sceaux and Saint Calvados liking to take them along at a fair lick. In summary, probably one of the best four-runner races you’ll ever see, but we’ve got to stick with the champ – Altior.

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