2017 Tingle Creek Chase Free Tips and Trends

Tingle Creek Trends and Tips

Run over 2m the Betfair-sponsored Tingle Creek Chase is staged at Sandown Park racecourse and this year (2017) run on 9th December. The Grade One Chase is always seen as a good guide to the Queen Mother Champion Chase run at the Cheltenham Festival later in the season – with Master Minded (2008), Moscow Flyer (2004), Sprinter Sacre (2012) and Sire de Grugy (2013) the last horses to do the Tingle Creek/Champion Chase double in the same season, while 12 months ago in 2016 the classy Willie Mullins-trained Un De Sceaux took this before taking the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival.

Here at JUICESTORM we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key Tingle Creek trends to look out for ahead of the 2017 renewal – this year run on Saturday 9th December.

Recent Tingle Creek Winners

2016 – UN DE SCEAUX (5/4 fav)
2015 – SIRE DE GRUGY (10/3)
2014 – DODGING BULLETS (9/1)
2013 – SIRE DE GRUGY (7/4 jfav)
2012 – SPRINTER SACRE (4/11 fav)
2011 – SIZING EUROPE (11/8 fav)
2010 – MASTER MINDED (10/11 fav)
2009 – TWIST MAGIC (9/4)
2008 – MASTER MINDED (4/7 fav)
2007 – TWIST MAGIC (5/1)
2006 – KAUTO STAR (4/9 fav)
2005 – KAUTO STAR (5/2 jfav)
2004 – MOSCOW FLYER (2/1)
2003 – MOSCOW FLYER (6/4 fav)
2002 – CENKOS (6/1)


Tingle Creek Chase Trends

14/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Aged 9 or younger
13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/15 – Had won a Grade One chase before
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
12/15 – Officially rated 165 or higher
11/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
10/15 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
10/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/15 – French bred
11/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
9/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8/15 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
5/15 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
4/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/15 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 5/2

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham


JUICESTORM VERDICT: The Tingle Creek betting market has been the subject of much talk in midweek with the Willie Mullins big-guns Douvan and last year’s winner of this race – Un De Sceaux – drifting in the market to suggest they won’t head over. With that the shrewd money all week as been for the Colin Tizzard-trained FOX NORTON – who certainly does have this race as a target. This improving 7 year-old has got better and better since his narrow defeat in the Champion Chase last March and returned to the track better than ever last month with a top win Shloer Chase at Cheltenham. He powered up the hill to beat the consistent Cloudy Dream by 8 lengths that day and there should be more to come. It’s actually surprising that he’s still just 7 (ok, 8 in a few weeks), but this will be his 24th race and his 16th over fences. He’s won 8 of his 15 starts over the bigger obstacles and is yet to finish out of the first three in those chase runs. Those against him might look to this being his first run at Sandown, and he’ll have to cope with the tricky Railway Fences for the first time, but he’s a good, experienced jumper so there’s no obvious reason why he won’t handle them. Of the rest, the Gary Moore-trained Ar Mad was a decent fourth in the race 12 months ago and seems to save his best for the Sandown track. We can expect another bold bid from the front from this 7 year-old as he likes to get on with the job, but he might just be setting the race up for Fox Norton, who don’t forget stays further than this 2m trip. Paul Nicholls has a top record in the race with 8 wins in the last 15 so his Politologue is a player too. He won the Haldon Gold Cup in decent fashion last time and has now won 4 of his 7 chase starts. But you feel a fair bit more is needed on that run in a race like this so might have to settle for minor honours.