2019 July Cup Betting Trends and Free Tips

July Cup Trends and Tips

The July Cup is a Group One contest is run over 6f at Newmarket racecourse and is one of the highlights for the best sprinters all around the world each year.

Run on the final day of the three-day Newmarket July Meeting the race is worth around £225,000 to the winner.

We take a look back at the recent winners, and give you some key trends ahead of the 2019 renewal, this year run on Saturday 13th July.

Did you know – 16 of the last 17 July Cup winners were aged 5 or younger?

 

Recent July Cup Winners

2018 – U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017 – Harry Angel (9/2)
2016 – Limato (9/2 fav)
2015 – Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014 – Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (9/2)
2012 – Mayson (20/1)
2011 – Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010 –  Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009 – Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008 – Marchand d’Or (5/2 fav)
2007 – Sakhee’s Secret (9/2)
2006 – Les Arcs (10/1)
2005 – Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004 – Frizzante (14/1)
2003 – Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002 – Continent (12/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

16/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over 6f before
14/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
14/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
13/17 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
13/17 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
10/17 – Placed last time out
9/17 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
6/17 – Won their previous race
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Irish-trained winners
2/17 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/17 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 4 times before (1999, 2001, 2010 & 2018)

JUICESTORM VERDICT: The 2016 winner of this race – Limato will be a popular choice again and after a good win last time out here then he’s certainly one for the shortlist. He will, however, need to step up from Group Three level into the top class here and, for me, he seems to be just shy of the highest grade these days with some new kids on the block. Cape Byron was a solid winner of the Wokingham and looks a progressive sprinter, but this is a big leap up in grade – he deserves his chance, but I’d rather see him running at this level first. Aidan O’Brien has a top record in the race so his runners – So Perfect, Fairyland and Ten Sovereigns can’t be overlooked – of that trio the last-named, who was last seen running fourth in the Commonwealth Cup, looks their main hope. However, it’s the winner of that Ascot race – ADVERTISE that gets the nod. This 3 year-old has won 4 of his 5 starts over this 6f trip and the way he powered clear last time suggests he’s as good as ever. He also won the July Stakes here last season so the track is fine and a certain Frankie Dettori does the steering. Of the rest, Dream Of Dreams, will also be popular after a close second to Blue Point in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes last time. He’s a progressive sprinter that is sure to be picking up one of these top races very soon. He beat Glorious Journey a length the time before at Windsor, so also holds that runner on that form line.

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