2019 Irish Derby Free Tips and Trends

Irish Derby Betting Tips

The Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby is a Group One contest run over 1m4f at the Curragh racecourse.

In recent years the race has been dominated by one trainer – Aidan O’Brien, who has landed the lucrative pot a staggering 12 times since 1997, including 9 of the last 11 renewals, and you can expect the Ballydoyle handler to be mob-handed once again.

Did you know, jockey Ryan Moore is yet to win the Irish Derby?

We take a look back at past winners, plus give you all the key stats ahead of the 2019 renewal, this year run on Saturday 29th June.

 

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2018 – LATROBE (14/1)
2017 – CAPRI (6/1)
2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 – CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR  (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

 

16/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard
13/16 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
14/16 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
13/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won a Group race before
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Failed to win their last race
11/16 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
10/16 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
9/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 12 times in all)
7/16 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (3 winners, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
4/16 – Previous Group 1 winners
3/16 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 9/2

JUICESTORM VERDICT: Like most years, the Irish Derby seems to be about one trainer – Aidan O’Brien – who has won this race a staggering 12 times. He’s once again mob-handed with 5 of the 8 runners, with his Epsom Derby winner – ANTHONY VAN DYCK and fourth Broome are his clear main players. The Kevin Prendergast runner Madhmoon – who was runner-up in the Derby also re-opposes and is sure to have his supporters too in a bid to spoil the O’Brien party. He also clipped heels during that Epsom race so his backers will cling to that as a reason why he can overturn the form – but I’m not so sure. I feel there is more to come from the Derby winner and he’s already a winner at the track. Ryan Moore, who is yet to win this race, would have had the pick of the O’Brien runners so the fact he’s sided with AVD is another good sign he’s progressed since Epsom – he can become the first horse to win both races since Harzand in 2016, and follow in the hoof prints of other O’Brien runners – like High Chaparral, Galileo , Australia and Camelot, who also achieved the Epsom/Irish Derby double.

 

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