2019 Epsom Dash Free Tips and Trends

Epsom horse racing tips and trends

Epsom racecourse’s 5 furlongs is often billed as one of the fastest in the world – blink and you’ll miss this one – The Epsom Dash, run at their two-day Derby Meeting each year. In 2012 we saw a shock 50/1 winner when John Best’s Stone Of Folca, landed the prize, while in 2013 we saw the first winning favourite win for some time.

The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 16.5/1, so don’t be afraid to look further down the betting when trying to find the winner, while 12 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 8 or higher. While, it’s also worth noting that Caspian Prince has landed three of the last 5 runnings so if lining up again is a horse to certainly have on your radar.

We take a look at past winner, plus we’ve got more key stats ahead of this 2019 renewal – this year run on Saturday 1st June.

 

Recent Epsom Dash Winners

2018 – TANASOQ (12/1)
2017 – CASPIAN PRINCE (25/1)
2016 – CASPIAN PRINCE (11/1)
2015 – DESERT LAW (16/1)
2014 – CASPIAN PRINCE (9/1)
2013 – DUKE OF FIRENZE (5/1 fav)
2012 – STONE OF FOLCA (50/1)
2011 – CAPTAIN DUNNE (13/2)
2010 – BERTOLIVER (33/1)
2009 – INDIAN TRAIL (11/1)
2008 – HOLBECK GHYLL (15/2)
2007 – HOGMANEIGH (7/1)
2006 – DESERT LORD (12/1)
2005 – FIRE UP THE BAND (14/1)
2004 – CARIBBEAN CORAL (20/1)
2003 – ATLANTIC VIKING (9/1)

 

Epsom Dash Betting Trends and Stats

16/17 – Didn’t win last time out
15/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (12 within the last 4 weeks)
13/17 – Came from stall 8 or higher
13/17 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
13/17– Unplaced favourites
12/17 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/17 – Had raced at Epsom previously (4 had won)
11/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/17 – Winning favourites
Caspian Prince won the race in 2014, 2016 and 2017
Duke Of Firenze won the race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 16 renewals is 15.5/1

JUICESTORM VERDICT: Hathiq is set to be the likely favourite in the race. This Irish raider has won his last two in good fashion and could easily be a blot on the handicap. But he’s never raced here at Epsom and doesn’t look great value in a race as competitive as this. We’ve a couple of previous winners in the race in DUKE OF FIRENZE (e/w) and CASPIAN PRINCE (e/w) – both look to have fair chances again. The Duke, who is trained by Dave Griffiths, has won his last two – on the last two Saturday’s – and despite going up another 4lbs is still well treated off a mark of 89, considering he was rated 107 at the start of last season. He’s also still 8lbs lower than when winning this is 2013 and despite the fact he’s not getting any younger at 10, this trainer is a master at keeping these old sprinters at their peak and he’s proven that over the last few weekends. Caspian Prince blew away the cobwebs last time when 6th to Battaash at Haydock, but will find this drop back into a handicap a lot easier. He’s the top-rated in the field so it won’t be easy with 10-0 to carry and he’s 7lbs higher than his 2017 win in this race. However, he seems to love running at this track – 6 runs and 4 wins – so that must count for a lot. Of the rest, Dark Shot was close behind Duke Of Firenze last week and has gone well in this race before to suggest he can go close, while the consistent Copper Knight is another that should be in the mix. Griffiths also runs Ornate, who certainly has the form to go well. The key draw trend suggests to look for horses drawn 8 or higher – Duke is drawn 19 and Caspian 10. While Muthmir and Just That Lord, who is another proven CD winner here are others to note.

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