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We have now reached the quarter-final stage and so far, no real surprises, but Argentina struggled and now end up in the same part of the draw as Brazil, whilst we could be looking at a Colombia v Uruguay semi-final which should be a firecracker.
Friday 28th June 2019
Brazil v Paraguay
There have been only five meetings today in eight years and four of those ended in draws with Brazil winning the most recent head to head by 3-0. Brazil looked more like themselves in demolishing Peru 5-0 and I don’t see this being any more difficult so it will be a tough night for Paraguay. Brazil are unbeaten in thirteen, winning eleven, and they have not conceded in their last five games. Paraguay qualified with two draws only and have won just once in eleven matches and I think they will do well to score. I can only recommend Brazil here so perhaps if we take them to win to Nil at 1.61.
Argentina v Venezuela
Venezuela are unbeaten in four and have conceded just the one goal and beat Argentina in a friendly in Madrid by 3-1 recently and the two previous meetings today both ended in draws. Argentina have lost only two of their last eight, but they are not playing well and do not seem to gel as a team and that gives Venezuela a chance, provided the occasion does not get to them, and they believe that they can actually win. Those are big ifs and I really want to take Argentina on here at around 1.57 but they are still the most likely winners. I am in a quandary, leave the game alone or a small Lay of Argentina, with preference for the former, but if you really want to play you might consider Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 as four of the last five Argentina games were Under and they will be happy to just qualify. It might be possible to trade out after around 30 minutes for a profit.
Saturday 29th June 2019
Colombia v Chile
Colombia are playing really well and have won their last five without conceding. They have also won ten of their last eleven and must fancy their chances of going close in this competition. Chile have won three of their last four and have a good recent record against Colombia, knocking them out of the semi-finals in the last Copa America. Three of the last four head to head have ended in draws and that is a real player here and this game could also be Unders. The best idea for trading here could be correct scores around 1-0 and 1-1 looking for a green book.
Uruguay v Peru
Uruguay are now unbeaten in six and have won four of the last five head to head, although Peru did win the last meeting 2-1 in Lima. Peru have won only two of their last six and took a beating against Brazil in the final group game. Five of the last six Uruguay games have gone Over 2.5 goals and it might be worth chancing Overs at 2.30 although I wouldn’t put anyone off betting Uruguay to win the game at 1.75 if you can get that price, as they have looked a decent “team” so far and they could go all the way.
*Note – odds may be subject to change
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