Friday 19th April 2019
Bristol City v Reading
In the last twelve head to head, there have been no draws and Reading have won three of the last four meetings in Bristol. Bristol City need to win as they have Derby and Middlesbrough breathing down their necks in the play-off battle and prior to their defeat at Villa, they had been on an unbeaten run of five. Reading need to win to climb away from the relegation zone and they have lost just two of their last nine. Over 2.5 at 1.73 with a view to trading.
Sheff Utd v Nottm Forest
Only three recent meetings at this level with Forest wining two and drawing at Bramall Lane 0-0. Forest’s season is probably done since they have lost their last three so Sheff Utd who need the three points should oblige. If you can get 1.61 that is probably the right price but there has to be better value elsewhere and both teams to score at 2.00 appeals more.
Leeds v Wigan
Six of he last seven head to head were Under 2.5 goals, the exception being this season at Wigan where Leeds won 2-1. Both need to win for different reasons and Leeds who have won six of their last eight still eye the title. Wigan have drawn seven of their last twelve but won only once away. Under 2.5 goals at 2.20 with a view to trading if we get a quiet opening thirty minutes or so.
Preston v Ipswich
Ipswich are relegated and the poor recent form of Preston, four successive defeats, has meant they are unlikely to be involved in the play-offs. Previous to that they had gone twelve unbeaten. Ipswich have won on two of their last three visits and now that the pressure is off, they might be worth chancing at 6.00 with a view to trading.
QPR v Blackburn
Both are probably safe, so we might get a relaxed open game and goals, the opposite of recent games where six of the last seven head to head ended Under 2.5 goals. Four of those games ended level with no wins for QPR. Over 3.5 at 3.00 might be a good trading angle.
West Brom v Hull
West Brom are probably fairly safely ensconced in a play-off position but three points here would cement that place, but they take on a Hull side who have an outside sniff at sneaking in. Hull won the only recent meeting between the two back in November by 1-0. West Brom have been strong at home in recent games and are backable at 1.83 with a view to trading for the stake back if they lead.
Norwich v Sheff Wed
Norwich have drawn their last two, so what was a comfortable lead two weeks ago has now been reduced to four points, so a win is vital here. That surely adds to the pressure so Wednesday will fancy their chances even though it looks like they will not reach the play-offs. They have lost two of their last three but before that had been unbeaten in twelve, so The Canaries will need to be on their guard. The last four head to head were all Over 3.5 goals and we can expect goals again with Over 2.5 fair value at 1.73. For those trading the game, a small Lay of Norwich at 1.53 could offer trading opportunities if the pressure gets to them.
Note: Odds are subject to change.
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